💪 TEs to Target and Fade at ADP

Welcome Back to Drop Army Fantasy!

You gotta take ADP as a guide, not gospel. To that end, take a look at some TEs I’m either targeting or fading based on their current draft positions.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 3 TEs to target and 3 TEs to fade at ADP 💪 

• Access to to 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit 🏆 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

And come hang out with me on YouTube. I’m posting fantasy content all summer long!

🛑 FADE: Cade Otton (TB), ADP 183.5, TE23

Cade Otton has NEVER finished as a fantasy TE1 — despite two full seasons in an offense that featured a TOP-5 QB and elite WR spacing. BUT his only spike weeks came during injury stretches when both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin were off the field. And now? The Bucs added two more weapons in Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan — both of whom profile as legit slot options. SO the path to relevance for Otton requires a TOTAL COLLAPSE of the depth chart — not just one injury, but multiple. With no elite traits, no red zone role, and no target share ceiling, he’s not just a long shot — he’s drawing dead.

🎯 TARGET: Colston Loveland (CHI), ADP 136, TE12

Colston Loveland is already drawing Sam LaPorta comps — and he’s landing in the exact same Ben Johnson system that made LaPorta a fantasy TE1. BUT this time, the offensive depth chart is more crowded, with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, and Luther Burden all fighting for targets — plus Cole Kmet still hanging around. Loveland is also recovering from a SHOULDER INJURY that may delay his breakout by a few weeks. SO what you’re drafting isn’t Week 1 production — it’s the back-half eruption. And when the usage flips — when Johnson unlocks his seam route volume — this is one lateish-round tight end that could flirt with a TOP-5 finish down the stretch. He’s the ONLY one in this ADP range that feels like a LEAGUE-WINNER, not just a streamer.

🛑 FADE: Jonnu Smith (PIT), ADP 149.5, TE17

Jonnu Smith finished 2024 as the TE4 and even OUTSCORED Jaylen Waddle — no one’s denying he cashed as a waiver-wire cheat code. BUT that breakout came from a unique setup: high usage from condensed formations, playing alongside Alec Ingold and Durham Smythe in a weirdly consolidated pass game. And now he’s on a SLOW-PACED team that already has Pat Freiermuth — and the play volume is projected to drop again under new OC Arthur Smith, who ranked 28TH in pass rate last year. SO unless he repeats historic efficiency on LIMITED routes, the ADP is unjustified — and you’re chasing last year’s outlier.

🎯 TARGET: Jake Ferguson (DAL), ADP 147, TE16

Jake Ferguson quietly ranked TE12 in PPR before Dak’s midseason collapse. His target share peaked at 17.9% — and he was being used as a real safety valve on early downs. BUT once Dallas started crumbling in pass protection, Ferguson’s role turned into damage control. He didn’t top 40 yards over the final 7 games. And that collapse? It came when Dak Prescott saw his pressure rate spike to the 4th-highest in the league. So with improved protection and Dallas projected as a Top-10 passing volume team again, Ferguson slides right back into mid-tier TE1 territory. He’s the rare value pick at tight end who offers both red zone upside and stable floor — and you’re getting him after TE15. That’s a LOCK.

🛑 FADE: Mark Andrews (BAL), ADP 106, TE8

Mark Andrews still profiles as a dependable TE1… BUT he’s now entering his age-30 season, and the red flags are piling up. His red zone TDs (11) made him look stronger than the actual usage — and Isaiah Likely is legitimately earning trust as the potential successor. Meanwhile, the Ravens offense is undergoing a soft shift, with rumors they explored trading Andrews this offseason and a playoff performance that raised serious concerns. SO even though he’s still draftable, this isn’t a ceiling play anymore — it’s a FLOOR pick being priced like a bounce-back, and TE8 is just too rich for that bet.

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