🎯 RBs to Target and Avoid at ADP

The rundown on 6 popular RB targets

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When it comes time to build the depth in your fantasy draft, you’re going to come across these guys. Get a handle on whether their current ADPs make them worth drafting.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

  • 3 RBs to Target and 3 to Fade at ADP 🤔 

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  • The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

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🎯 TARGET: Cam Skattebo (NYG), ADP 112.5, RB37

Cam Skattebo led all Division 1 bacls in yards after the catch and ranked 4th in missed tackle rate. He also commanded an absurd 21% of his team’s receptions — the highest in this rookie class. But he didn’t just rack up college volume — the Giants drafted him because they weren’t sold on Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Devin Singletary. Tracy posted a BRUTAL 35.1 pass block grade, and Skattebo’s already drawing buzz as the Giants' best third-down option.

So even on what might be one of the toughest rushing schedules, this is the one back who can survive it — with every-down size, a proven receiving skillset, and a real shot to take over this entire backfield by midseason. He’s not just viable at RB37 — he’s BUILT for the role you’re praying one of these cheap backs wins.

🛑 AVOID: Brian Robinson Jr. (WAS), ADP 88.5, RB30

Brian Robinson was a red zone workhorse last year — 42 carries inside the 20, tied with Chuba Hubbard, and 7 touchdowns inside the 10, matching Jonathan Taylor. But the wheels fell off late: over his final 8 games, he averaged just 4.0 yards per carry and failed to gain yardage on over 21% of his runs — a brutal efficiency cliff. And while Kingsbury called him capable of playing at an “incredibly high level,” Washington still has Austin Ekeler and even flirted with moving Robinson in a trade.

SO now you're drafting a touchdown-dependent grinder in a CONTRACT YEAR, splitting time with a receiving back AND a hyped 7th-round rookie the coaches labeled “A-BACK MATERIAL.” No pass-game work. No real ceiling. No upside at cost. He’s not a smash. He’s a volume illusion.

🎯 TARGET: Jaylen Warren (PIT), ADP 96.5, RB32

Jaylen Warren was Top-10 in yards per touch, yards created, and juke rate, and the Steelers hit him with a $5 million tender. That’s not a fluke — he’s averaged 61.7 scrimmage yards across 48 games and never averaged fewer than 4.8 yards per carry. But he’s also never scored a single receiving touchdown and has never cleared 8.8 carries per game — even as the passing-down back. And now Kaleb Johnson is here, a “load-bearing” early-down hammer who just logged 240 carries and 21 TDs at Iowa.

So the standalone ceiling might feel capped — but on a Steelers team facing the NFL’s 2nd-toughest rushing schedule, Warren is the Flex back you trust when Pittsburgh plays from behind, or when Johnson’s role hits a wall. He’s efficient, paid, and locked into the part of the game that fantasy cares about.

🛑 AVOID: James Conner (ARI), ADP 63, RB20

James Conner was a machine last year — 1,508 total yards, 9 TDS, and finished as RB11 in half-PPR scoring. He was one of just three backs to average 15+ carries AND 3+ catches a game, and ranked 5th in explosive plays with 49 runs of 10+ yards. But Conner turns 30, his injury history is long, and the Cardinals are actively hyping Trey Benson as a co-starter — Gannon said they’re building a “two-RB1 system,” and Benson’s added muscle and 4.39 speed give them real reason to balance the workload.

So even if Conner starts strong, you’re taking him at RB20 in a backfield that’s shifting toward a SPLIT — and betting against both age and attrition to hold off a younger, fresher athlete with draft capital. That’s not a back you build around. That’s a fade disguised as a floor.

🎯 TARGET: Zach Charbonnet (SEA), ADP 110.5, RB36

Zach Charbonnet was a Top-10 RB in half of the games Kenneth Walker missed — averaging 100+ YARDS and finishing once as the RB1 overall. He logged 75 catches over the last two years — more than Saquon Barkley and Josh Jacobs — and ranked Top-10 in juke rate, routes run, and fantasy points per touch. But that’s not all — Seattle’s offense is now built around the run. Klint Kubiak is bringing in an old-school outside zone scheme, Rick Dennison was hired to fix the line, and the team plans to use a fullback — something only 11 teams did last year.

So even if he’s just a handcuff today, Charbonnet is one play away from inheriting a feature back role in the 7th-easiest rushing schedule in football — with the kind of contingent upside that wins leagues. He’s not just a stash. He’s the REASON you win the waiver war before it even starts.

Supercharge your summer draft prep with our recent updates:

- 🛑 5 WRs Being Drafted WAY Too Early

- ✅ 5 Underrated RBs in 2025

- 🤔 Reranking Round 1 of Fantasy Drafts

- 🎲 5 Risky WRs Hiding in the Top-30

- 🏈 Fantasy QBs by Category

🔁 NFLPA Reignites Collusion Battle Over Guarantees

⚡️ Marvin Mims Gaining Steam as Broncos WR2 Option

🐐 Bijan Says Falcons Rushing Goals Are ‘Outlandish’

🩼 Tristan Wirfs Out ‘At Least’ 4 Games After Surgery

👀 Will Shipley Labeled Eagles’ Most Watched RB

⚖️ Titans Hint at True Split for Pollard and Spears

🧲 CJ Stroud’s Security Blanket? Kirk Rising Fast

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