🛑 5 WRs Being Drafted WAY Too Early

The community is overrating these players

Welcome Back to Drop Army Fantasy!

Today I’m talking a few receivers who I don’t quite buy the hype on. These guys have definite ceilings, but their risks make their current ADPs a bit too rich. Check them out below.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

  • 5 WRs being drafted WAY too early ⏰ 

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  • The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

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Rashod Bateman (BAL), ADP 112, WR56

Rashod Bateman just posted CAREER-HIGHS in yards (756) and TDs (9)... and still finished outside the top 40 WRs. But he averaged JUST 4.2 TARGETS per game and played in a pass offense where NO WR cracked a 22% target share. Lamar spreads the ball to Andrews, Likely, Flowers, and Bateman — and the Ravens RAN THE 2ND-MOST in neutral game scripts last year.

So even with splash plays and red zone usage, Bateman’s still a LOW-VOLUME BET in a CROWDED room on a RUN-HEAVY team. You’ll never know when to start him — and that’s a problem at WR56.

Marvin Mims (DEN), ADP 131.5, WR60

Marvin Mims ranked as the WR17 in PPR over Denver’s final 5 games — 5 touchdowns, 341 YARDS, and 17.5 PPG. But he NEVER played more than HALF the snaps in any of those games… and still profiles as a gadget return man under Sean Payton, who has REFUSED to give him a full-time role despite his efficiency.

So even if you love the talent, there’s no evidence Payton trusts him — and Denver was a slow paced team last year, limiting play volume. You’re betting on an outlier role shift — not a real floor.

Christian Kirk (HOU), ADP 120.5, WR58

Christian Kirk is the projected slot starter for one of the league’s best young QBs — and will play opposite Nico Collins with Tank Dell expected to miss the season. But Kirk isn’t all that impressive at this point. He finished WR58 in points per game last year and posted just an 11.8 expected PPG (WR38). He also saw just a 19% target share before breaking his collarbone — and now faces pressure from rookie Jaylin Noel, who ranked 5th in yards per route run vs zone last year and plays the SAME slot role.

So even if Kirk opens the year as the WR2, it’s a fragile hold. The Texans already reshuffled the WR room. Kirk’s contract is voidable, his usage is volatile, and the upside just isn’t there at WR58.

Keon Coleman (BUF), ADP 101.5, WR53

Keon Coleman had a wild rookie line — just 29 catches, but 556 yards and a ridiculous 19.2 yards per catch. But nearly 40% of his targets were go routes — the 2nd-higest rate in the league — and he had a chipped wrist that cost him 5 games in the second half. Even when healthy, he wasn’t commanding volume — and the Bills now have a full committee approach at WR.

So while the deep threat is real, he’s too one-dimensional of a player on a team with no clear target leader. He’s a best ball dart — not a WR you can trust in redraft.

Jameson Williams (DET), ADP 46, WR25

Jameson Williams just hit 1,000 yards on only 58 catches — that’s a massive 17.3 yards per reception — and finished as the WR22 overall. But he averaged just 6.1 targets per game and had a top-24 finish in ONLY 40% of his games. And now Detroit swaps Ben Johnson for John Morton — a downfield-minded OC whose arrival could shift more targets to Gibbs and LaPorta underneath.

So Williams is still a home run hitter with elite upside — but his usage and volatility make him a MISTAKE at WR25. You’re paying for the breakout at full price — and ignoring the floor that comes with it.

Supercharge your summer draft prep with our recent updates:

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- 🧨 6 Must-Draft WRs

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