WRs to Target and Fade in 2024

Welcome to the Fantasy Drop Army newsletter!

Ready to dominate your fantasy league? Let’s talk about the wide receivers everyone’s getting wrong in drafts. If you want to rise above the rest, you need to know exactly who to target—and who to steer clear of.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 3 WRs to TARGET at current ADP 🎯 

• 3 WRs to FADE at current ADP 🚫 

• How to access the 2024 Draft Guide for FREE 🏆

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

Target: Puka Nacua (LAR), ADP 11.7, WR8

After a record-setting rookie season during which he finished 5th in yards after the catch, Puka’s first round draft tag is legit. His 28.7% target share ranked 11th. But, that was even accounting for Cooper Kupp’s 59 receptions over 12 games since his return from injury. So, Puka is now the Rams WR1 and will see the work to maintain that status.

Fade: Jaylen Waddle (MIA), ADP 20.1, WR14

Let’s be clear: this is not about Waddle’s talent. He’s just going too early for a guy who is never going to get a productive target share. Tyreek Hill’s has been in the neighborhood of 10% more over the last 2 seasons. Miami’s dynamic backfield duo of Achane and Mostert can eat into that work too. Waddle will turn in some spike weeks, but he’ll also give you some very quiet ones. So, I think Round 2 has better values elsewhere.

Target: Malik Nabers (NYG), ADP 24.9, WR17

Nabers is my favorite rookie target this summer. I like his situation because the Giants will likely have to throw the football a lot. Nabers handled 31% of his team’s targets in 2023, which is far more than anyone else could handle on the Giants. But, he’ll need a better version of Daniel Jones if he’s going to be worth the pick. We’ll know more about that once the preseason rolls on. Either way, I think Nabers will get a lot of work immediately.

Avoid: Davante Adams (LV), ADP 21.5, WR15

It feels wrong to advise people to avoid drafting Davante. But, the Round 2 Risk is very real here. His fantasy points per game numbers have declined for 4 straight years now, and in 2023 they fell to their lowest point since 2016. Yes, a lot of that is QB play. And as of now, the Raiders will start either Aidan O’Connell or Gardner Minshew under center. That doesn’t instill a lot of confidence in a 31-year-old.

Target: Drake London (ATL), ADP 15.1, WR10

I’m buying the Falcons’ hype this year, even if it could blow up in my face. London should be the biggest beneficiary of having a QB who attempted 9 more passes per game than the Falcons, and threw for MORE touchdowns despite appearing in just 8 games. London also has a new coach who has vowed to get the ball to his best playmakers. So, I’m feeling good about London if he’s on the board in the 2nd round.

Avoid: DK Metcalf (SEA), ADP 28.4, WR21

Monster athleticism is Metcalf’s trademark. It usually leads to an entertaining highlight reel. But, I have concerns about him this season. First of all, Geno Smith was 16th in total passing yards, but ranked 30th in accuracy rating. He’s had one solid year in a career that spans back to 2013. Then you have the others in the WR room. Tyler Lockett typically performs on-par with Metcalf. Jaxon Smith-Njigba will command a higher target share in Year 2. So, DK will suffer the hits and continue to be overvalued in drafts.

💪 Browns Bolster Line with New Center

🏈 WR Marvin Mims Finds the End Zone

😱 S Hamilton Leaves Practice; Harbaugh Quells Concern

☝️ QB Watson Ready for Work in Joint Sessions

🩼 WR Malik Nabers Suffers “Minor” Ankle Sprain

😅 DB Wiggins Avoids Serious Scare

🚑 Hollywood Brown Released from Hospital

🚨 QB Jones to Play in Next Preseason Action

Remember, the key to victory is knowing who’s truly worth the pick. Stay sharp, stay informed, and let’s crush this season together.

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