🎲 5 Risky WRs Hiding in the Top-30

Welcome Back to Drop Army Fantasy!

Another risk issue to end the week. This time I’m looking a bit closer at WRs who will definitely be drafted to start in fantasy, but definitely carry some big-time risk.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 5 highly-regarded WRs with extra risk 🎲 

• Access to to 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit 🏆 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

Jaylen Waddle (MIA), ADP 72.5, WR31

Alright, so Waddle is outside the Top-30, but humor me.

He just turned in his WORST season across every meaningful stat — WR53 overall, only 49.6 yards per game, and a career-low 3.9 receptions. But zoom in and it’s worse than it looks — he ranked 63rd in ADOT, 59th in yards per route run, and finished with just 2 touchdowns. Even when he played over 70% of snaps, the ceiling never came.

So even if you believe in the bounceback, it’s buried behind a role that’s getting less explosive — and his 2.14 YPRR with Tua still only ranked 27th among qualifying WRs. This isn’t a talent issue. It’s a usage trap. At WR31, you’re still paying for the upside version of Waddle… but the floor is already here — and it’s ugly.

Garrett Wilson (NYJ), ADP 32, WR15

Garrett Wilson is being drafted as a locked-in WR2… but every sign points to a volume-heavy floor without the ceiling. He’s now entering Year 4 with a new offensive system, a passing QB downgrade from Rodgers to Justin Fields, and a pass game built by Ben Johnson’s former assistant that plans to be one of the run-heaviest in the league.

But here’s the real issue — Fields has never supported a 100-catch WR, and Wilson hasn’t topped 1,110 yards in any of his three seasons despite commanding 139+ targets each year. So even if he does break the Jets’ franchise records, it’s in a system that may limit pass attempts and force Wilson into low-efficiency, contested-volume mode. He’ll be good… but never great. WR15 is a reach.

Chris Godwin (TB), ADP 65, WR29

Chris Godwin opened 2024 as a monster, leading the NFL in receptions through 7 weeks and averaging 82.3 yards per game. But then came the ankle dislocation. Now he’s in recovery with no guarantee for Week 1, a new OC, and a crowd of slot-capable receivers including Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan.

But the role is even murkier — Godwin saw a career-high 16.1% screen rate but a career-low 5.7 air yards per target. His usage has fully shifted to low-depth YAC plays.
So even if he returns fully healthy, the combination of injury risk, target competition, and reduced downfield role makes him a low-ceiling trap at WR29. There’s no longer a clear path to WR2 production.

Davante Adams (LAR), ADP 38.5, WR18

Davante Adams is 32 and now playing second fiddle to Puka Nacua — the Rams’ clear WR1 in a condensed McVay offense. But even last year, sharing volume with Garrett Wilson, Adams still finished as the WR9 in points per game. That’s the bait. Here’s the problem — LA’s offense hasn’t supported two top-20 WRs under McVay, and Puka just earned a full system promotion with staff literally calling him “the offense.” Adams may be elite… but the setup isn’t.

So unless the Rams drastically shift to a pass-first, high-volume offense — which isn’t McVay’s DNA — Adams will be locked into WR2 volume without WR2 upside. At pick 38, you’re drafting a resume, not a role.

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