Fantasy Drop Army
Posts
🚫 The Biggest Draft Busts by Category

🚫 The Biggest Draft Busts by Category

Stay away from these players

Joe Holka
August 17, 2024

2024’s Biggest Draft Fades by Category

Welcome to the Fantasy Drop Army newsletter!

Everyone wants to avoid the fantasy draft land mines known as busts. When draft day comes, and you’re weighing your options, keep away from these players.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

Players to AVOID by category in 2024 🙅‍♂️
How to access the 2024 Draft Guide for FREE 🏆
The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

The 2024 Draft Guide is LIVE!

• I helped thousands of people win their fantasy league in 2023.

• My mission is to make premium fantasy football information accessible to everyone

• I’m here to save you time, and make you sound smarter to your friends…

So if you’re ready to take that next step... I’m leaving this offer up for a limited-time only:

Get your 2024 Draft Guide for FREE (link) 👀

Biggest Injury Risk: Mike Williams (NYJ), ADP 133.9

Williams was on pace to be a top-15 fantasy WR last season. The problem was he only played in 3 games before tearing his ACL. Now, he’s approaching 30 years old as a player who has endured a lot of nagging injuries over his career. Since entering the NFL he’s injured his back, ankle, hamstring, shoulder, and knee. It doesn’t instill a lot of confidence, especially since we aren’t totally sure how the Jets will look this year. He’s also the clear-cut WR2 behind Garrett Wilson.

Riskiest Pick: WR Chris Olave (NO), ADP 20.5

Olave’s ADP is currently driven by projected growth going into Year 3. But, that’s not guaranteed. Last year he was 19th in fantasy points per game. But, he had a lot of missed connections with Derek Carr leading to 1,058 unrealized air yards, 3rd-most in the league. That’s concerning because Carr isn’t likely to get much more accurate throwing deep at this point in his career. So, Olave may not reach the expectations of this draft spot.

Worst RB at Current Value: RB D’Andre Swift (CHI), ADP 90

Swift ended last season 5th in total rushing yards. He was the PPR RB20, which is decent considering his relatively modest role in the passing game. But, there are problems with his statistical trends. He ranked 51st in yards created per touch, which was worse than both Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson. The preseason trends haven’t been super encouraging either. Swift didn’t get the majority of the starters’ reps and logged just 1 carry in the first game. So, there are a lot of warning signals here.

Worst WR at Current Value: Jaylen Waddle (MIA), ADP 19.3

I keep saying it: Waddle is a great talent, but he’s always going to be capped by playing alongside Tyreek Hill. The 2nd-round ADP is way too high because Tua Tagovailoa just doesn’t have the ability to support 2 fantasy WR1s for the entirety of the season. Additionally, the strength of the Miami backfield may lead to fewer opportunities anyway. So, fade Waddle unless he falls in your draft.

Worst TE at Current Value: Dallas Goedert (PHI), ADP 115.9

Goedert’s best fantasy football days are behind him at this point. He’s an injury risk with 2 top-end WRs competing for targets on his offense. But, that’s not all. In 2023, he posted his career-low yards per reception total, and he’s never scored more than 5 touchdowns in his career (2019). So, he shouldn’t be drafted as a starting TE even though he’s currently the 12th off the board.

Do NOT Draft: WR Tank Dell (HOU), ADP 34.1

Three Texans WRs are being drafted between Rounds 2-3, and at least one of them will be the odd man out. I’ve been vocal about fading Stefon Diggs as a bust, but Tank Dell belongs in the conversation too. The team just extended Nico Collins to be their WR1, so Dell and Diggs are very likely to cap each other’s ceilings, especially if C.J. Stroud doesn’t keep up his quality of play. Neither Diggs or Dell is worth their Round 3 ADP until we get more information.