Players Projected to Bust in 2025

Welcome Back to Drop Army Fantasy!

Today I’m talking landmines. These are players who could absolutely kill your draft due to poor situations, inflated ADP, or injury risk. So, tread lightly when faced with these names on draft day.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 13 players to avoid in fantasy drafts 🛑

• Access to to 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit 🏆 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

Jayden Reed (GB), ADP 80, WR45

The Packers spread the ball around as much as anyone, so Reed’s value suffers despite solid efficiency. His 74 targets didn’t even crack the Top-50 last season, and the team’s addition of Matthew Golden may hamper those numbers even further, so look for more consistency.

Cooper Kupp (SEA), ADP 89, WR49

He’s a brand name, but he’s well past his prime. The efficiency numbers fell off a cliff last season, to the point where even Sean McVay didn’t want to keep him around. Sam Darnold is a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and Kupp’s age and injury history all work against him. Don’t go there.

Roschon Johnson (CHI), ADP 162, RB51

There is upside here, but in a crowded Bears offense, I’m not so sure Johnson will get enough chances to pay off as a draft pick. He wasn’t very evasive in his limited playing time last year, and D’Andre Swift has a theoretical lock on the top job. So, Roschon’s a lottery ticket.

Xavier Legette (CAR), ADP 158, WR67

Now that Tet McMillan is part of the Carolina offense, Legette’s WR67 draft cost is still way too high. His already inconsistent play will probably be overshadowed, even if Bryce Young takes another developmental step forward.

Dalton Schultz (HOU), ADP 196.5, TE27

Schultz's numbers declined in 2024, to the point where he was TE15 in receptions and TE16 in yards, with only 2 touchdowns all year. Considering Houston added Christian Kirk, and drafted a couple of promising rookie wideouts, Schultz is better left undrafted this season.

Cedric Tillman (CLE), ADP 145.5, WR63

Tillman flashed in 2 big games last season, but there’s just too much working against him. He’s got concussion issues, his WR room is crowded, and there’s not much clarity around the QB situation in Cleveland. I don’t expect much from him on a consistent basis.

Geno Smith (LV), ADP 161, QB25

It’s true that Geno will help to make the Raiders marginally better on offense. But, the team will likely focus on the run, and he doesn’t have much to work with outside of Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers. Even in 2-QB formats, Smith is a streamer at best.

Rico Dowdle (CAR), ADP 172.5, RB54

Dowdle will presumably work behind Chuba Hubbard as part of the new-look Panthers. But he was just average last season with the Cowboys and may not have as many opportunities this year.

DeAndre Hopkins (BAL), ADP 185, WR77

Hopkins might be washed at this point. He’s 33 and had some trouble finding separation from coverage in 2024. At best, he’ll be the third option on a team that focuses heavily on the running game, so I’m fading big time.

Jauan Jennings (SF), ADP 61, WR33

Jennings should be a solid option early int he season while Brandon Aiyuk works his way back, but a lot of his performance last year can be attributed by injuries to his teammates. When all the Niners are healthy, Jennings has a far murkier outlook.

Kaleb Johnson (PIT), ADP 74.5, RB24

Johnson is an intriguing prospect with the talent to create big plays, and Najee Harris left 299 touches when he departed Pittsburgh. I just think RB24 is too close to Johnson’s ceiling this season. With Jaylen Warren as the more established back, I’m only drafting Johnson if he falls.

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