RBs to Target or Avoid at Current ADP

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Running back is still one of fantasy football’s most important positions. With so much movement on the ADP rankings, you’ll want to know which players are a value at their draft cost and which are dangerous landmines. Read on to find out about 6 popular running backs and how you should view them on draft day.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 3 RBs to target and 3 to fade at ADP 🤷‍♂️

• Access to to 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit 🏆 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

🎯 Target: Jaylen Warren (PIT), ADP 97, RB32

Pittsburgh allowed Najee Harris and his 299 touches to bolt for Los Angeles in the offseason, opening up a TON of opportunity in Arthur Smith’s run-heavy scheme. Last season, Warren was a serviceable passing game back, cracking the Top-25 in receptions and yards, and ranking 13th in target share.

But, some of Warren’s metrics really stand out:

• 5.2 yards per touch (13th)

• 2.50 yards per route run (6th)

• 4.17 yards created per touch (9th)

The Steelers did draft Kaleb Johnson in April, who is a talented back in his own right. But, there will be plenty of backfield work to go around in Pittsburgh, and Warren is the established guy. I’d be surprised if Johnson took all of that Najee Harris work.

🛑 Fade: Raheem Mostert (LV), ADP 225.5, RB69

Mostert isn’t going to replicate his 2023 Dolphins success, when he was 4th in fantasy points per game. In fact, languishing as a Raiders’ backup at age 33, you can take him off your draft board completely. By all accounts, Las Vegas is committed to using Ashton Jeanty as their bell-cow back, and Mostert as the backup, at best.

In fact, Mostert’s advanced metrics from 2024 suggest that maybe Sincere McCormick or Zamir White will pass him. He ranked 69th in true yards per carry, 36th in juke rate, and 60th in fantasy points per opportunity. It could just be that he’s washed.

🎯 Target: Rachaad White (TB), ADP 139, RB44

White’s usage dipped with the emergence of Bucky Irving in 2024, but he still contributed at a solid level. He ended up as the RB23 in fantasy points per game, while turning in nice PPR value as the RB8 in both receptions and receiving yards. On a play-by-play basis, he was decent, ranking 13th in fantasy points per opportunity, 16th in yards per touch, and 3rd in yards created per touch. Those aren’t the numbers of a guy who can’t play.

Ultimately, both guys will play a role. Based on how the touches split last season, getting White as the RB44 will be a steal.

🛑 Fade: Nick Chubb (LV), ADP 182, RB56

Chubb is trying to create a nice story, which is respectable, but he hasn’t been a legitimate fantasy player since 2022, before his big injury. Even in limited time last year, he was underwhelming, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry and ranking outside the Top 50 in nearly every efficiency metric.

The Texans brought him in to give him a look, but I don’t see him challenging Joe Mixon at all, and it’s likely Dameon Pierce ends up being the better handcuff option late in drafts. Chubb is just a fading name at this point.

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