📉 The WORST Picks in Rounds 1-6

Welcome Back to Drop Army Fantasy!

Each round of your fantasy draft will have guys available that just don’t deserve to be there. Not that they’ll be bad players, just that there’s better value around them at ADP.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• The 6 WORST Draft Picks of the first 6 rounds 📉 

• Access to to 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit 🏆 

• The latest news from around the NFL 🏈

And come hang out with me on YouTube. I’m posting fantasy content all summer long!

Round 1: Malik Nabers (NYG), ADP 8, WR5

Malik Nabers led the NFL in early-down target share at 32.9% and out-targeted CeeDee, Puka, and Ja'Marr per game. He was also 2nd in first-read target rate and posted the 4th-highest yards per route run vs zone — this is a real talent. But the Giants are still DEAD LAST in passing touchdowns over the last 17 games… and they’ve averaged the 2nd-fewest red zone trips per game since the start of last year. There’s no clear leap coming — not in pace, not in playcaller aggression, and not in quarterback efficiency, even with Russ.

So even if Nabers hits the ground running, you’re betting on a WR1 finish without the two things that power WR1s: touchdowns and red zone usage.
At WR5, this isn’t a breakout. It’s a blind trust fall.

Round 2: Jonathan Taylor (IND), ADP 20.5, RB8

Jonathan Taylor had a massive finish last season: 6 touchdowns and 3 straight games over 100 YARDS to end the year. He also ranked 1st in red zone touches per game during that final stretch — the usage was real. But on tape, the burst didn’t match the role. He was 44th in yards after contact and 42nd in forced missed tackle rate — bottom tier among all starters. And Anthony Richardson’s return only clouds things more — his dual-threat skillset stole 6 red zone rushes in just 2 starts, which projects to cannibalize Taylor’s highest-value looks.

So the finish looked like vintage JT… but the efficiency says otherwise. And now he’s being priced at his ceiling with a mobile QB (assuming Richardson eventually starts), inside a pace-neutral system that averaged the 10th-lowest neutral pass rate. If you're chasing last year’s final three games, you might miss the full picture.

Round 3: Josh Jacobs (GB), ADP 27, RB11

Josh Jacobs is a proven workhorse. He scored in 8 straight games to end the year and led the NFL in rushing TDs inside the 10. His volume profile is top-tier — and he played 70%+ of snaps in every healthy game last season. But, he was heavily TD-dependent. An unsustainable amount of his fantasy points came from touchdowns. Also, Green Bay runs a system that ranked Top-5 in red zone pass rate down the stretch and used multiple backs inside the 10.

So even if Jacobs holds the workload, the scoring opportunity just isn’t the same. He’s being drafted like a guaranteed RB1… but the Packers’ system and his own efficiency screams RB2 trap.

Round 4: DK Metcalf (PIT), ADP 45, WR23

I’ve picked on Metcalf a lot lately, but I have my reasons. Hewas a deep shot machine last year — 31.5% of his targets came 20+ yards downfield, the highest rate in the NFL. He also posted a career-best in red zone target share — the raw role was elite. But that was in one of the league’s most pass-happy systems. Now he moves to an Arthur Smith offense that ranked 3rd-lowest in pass rate over expectation over the last 2 years. Smith also ran the 3rd-slowest offense in that span, with a deep track record of suppressing WR target volume.

So, Metcalf’s role just got completely neutered — high aDOT, low efficiency, no volume floor. At WR23, he’s being drafted like the WR2 you can trust… when he’s more like the FLEX you hope hits one bomb.

Round 5: Jaylen Waddle (MIA), ADP 52.5, WR29

Jaylen Waddle averaged 1.53 yards per route run last year — the WORST mark of his career by far. His deep target rate fell under 10%, and he ranked 50th in target rate per route among WRs with 75+ targets. But he’s still being drafted like a WR2, despite missing 5 games over the last two seasons… and operating in a system where Tyreek Hill leads the league in first-read target share. Waddle’s floor is eroding — and the only path to upside is either a Hill injury or a full-on efficiency bounce-back.

So, you’re betting on a WR who no longer commands volume, no longer wins deep, and still shares the field with and explosive speedster. Even in Miami’s high-octane scheme, this price doesn’t hold up.

🧨 Stefon Diggs Trending Toward Week 1 Return in New England

🛡️ Jalen Ramsey's Role Could Shake Up Steelers' Defense

📈 Lions Installing New Plays Under OC John Morton

🤕 Ravens OT Emery Jones Jr. Lands on NFI List

✍️ Rashawn Slater in Extension Talks, Still Set to Practice

👁️ Najee Harris Likely to Open Camp on NFI With Eye Issue

🧢 Elerson Smith Retires After Four Seasons in NFL

🚫 Browns Hold Out Judkins Amid Off-Field Concerns

🩼 San Fran QB Expected Out to Start Year

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