- Joe’s Fantasy Football Update
- Posts
- 🚨 Top-10 Fantasy Breakouts (part 1)
🚨 Top-10 Fantasy Breakouts (part 1)
Ranking the best breakout candidates all weekend
Fantasy Breakouts
Here’s the first half of my Top-10 fantasy breakouts, starting with #10… in two minutes or less.
|
10. Keon Coleman (BUF), ADP 124, WR49
Coleman averaged 19.2 yards per catch and ranked 3rd in the league in yards per reception among receivers with 50+ targets, showing true big-play ability even in a small sample. But his rookie year was disrupted by a chipped bone in his wrist that cost him four games, cutting short a stretch where he saw 7 targets and over 16.5 PPR points in back-to-back weeks. The Bills now have an ensemble WR room without a clear alpha, and Coleman already led the team with 8 end-zone targets despite limited volume. So with Josh Allen’s arm creating high-value deep and red-zone looks, WR49 feels mispriced. This profile screams breakout if he keeps that role healthy.
9. Drake Maye (NE), ADP 146.8, QB18
Maye was QB7 in his full games played last year and ranked top-5 in rushing, pairing that with the 5th-best completion rate under pressure. But now he steps into Year 2 with Stefon Diggs, an upgraded offensive line, and what’s projected as the 2nd-easiest overall schedule in 2025. Reports out of camp point to improved processing speed and early chemistry with Diggs, giving him both a safe passing floor and explosive rushing upside. So QB18 undersells a dual-threat in a friendlier setup… his range of outcomes is much closer to a weekly QB1.
8. Cam Skattebo (NYG), ADP 94, RB32
Skattebo comes to the Giants with 3-down college production, strong missed-tackle and YAC metrics, and the ability to work in both phases. But camp reports have Tyrone Tracy operating as the lead back, and Skattebo’s hamstring injury has cost him critical reps in an offense that already faces one of the toughest projected schedules in the league. That includes a 3rd-toughest passing environment, which limits touchdown chances for the entire unit. So while I still like him as a breakout candidate, be cautious until he’s healthy.
7. Tyler Warren (IND), ADP 113.4, TE10
Warren has been used like a featured piece all offseason, with steady targets in OTAs and a 3-for-40 showing in his first preseason game. But last year the Colts ranked 3rd-lowest in red-zone and neutral pass rate, meaning Warren’s breakout path hinges on his role in a compressed passing volume. His current usage suggests he’s already their top tight end option, and projections have him as the highest-ranked rookie at the position. So TE10 is light for a player who can own schemed touches in a creative Shane Steichen offense that finds ways to get its playmakers open.
Come back tomorrow for my Top-5 breakouts!
As promised, in two minutes or less.
Over 12,000 players used this to prep last season. My 2025 Draft Kit is open now, but only a few dozen spots are available this year. I’m keeping it limited so I can give members my full attention.
See you tomorrow,
-Joe