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- 🛑 STOP DRAFTING these 5 RBs:
🛑 STOP DRAFTING these 5 RBs:
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Josh Jacobs has been a "steady" fantasy producer for years.
From a PPG perspective:
• Never finished outside the Top-15
• Never finished inside the Top-12
2021 was his best year as a pass-catcher:
• No.5 in RB receptions
• No.14 in RB receiving yds
So why the concern?
Two major problems...
• backfield injuries boosted catch total.
• Davante Adams threatens RZ work.
But there’s even bigger concerns…
…that makes his current ADP terrible:
The Raiders declined Jacobs’ fifth-year option, and trade rumors are still flying.
Zamir White was taken in the 4th Round of the Draft.
K. Drake and A. Abdullah are also here.
Efficiency is rough (Per PlayerProfiler):
• No.27 in breakaway runs
• No.37 in yards per touch
Ezekiel Elliott (pick 38.5) is going off the board around players like:
• Travis Etienne
• Jaylen Waddle
• Allen Robinson
• Breece Hall
• Jerry Jeudy
Each of these players should be drafted before the Cowboys "RB1."
Zeke's massive workload over the last few years is starting to show.
• No.39 in True Yards per carry.
• No.45 in Breakaway Run Rate.
He's been a top-12 RB1 in only 35% of games over the last 2 years.
Last year, Zeke was in that range as often as David Montgomery.
The potential for the bust is huge.
Don't fall in love with the name here.
Pollard is poised to take more work than ever this season.
You can correlate a nice bet here, depending on your side.
PrizePicks lists Zeke at 875.5 rush yards and Pollard at 690.5.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire is entering a make-or-break season as a Chief.
The shoulder injury destroyed his '21 season, welcoming a committee with Darrel Williams.
CEH saw his carries dip from 14.5 to 11 when he returned…
But here’s the bigger problem:
He's not a goal-line threat.
Kelce (and trick plays) dominate their offense, and that isn’t going to change.
Williams had 14 GL carries. CEH had 2.
Committee now features Ronald Jones and Jerick McKinnon.
The latter could steal 3rd down work.
RB28 is still too high for CEH.
Cam Akers at RB19 is tempting, but a top-50 pick is too high for this risk profile.
When you look at where the fantasy community valued him last year…
It’s no secret that the Rams prefer Akers
However…
Henderson scored 13.6 PPR points per game when healthy.
Akers (full) '20 season, No.71 in RB catches & mostly used as a pure runner.
In his '21 return, avg. 2.4 yards per carry, albeit against some tough run defenses.
Miles Sanders had a bizarre '21 season...
He was the 1st RB in 40 years to:
• Rush for 750+ yards
• Average 5.0 YPC
• Not score a TD
Eagles led the league in rushing TDs.
Sanders was No.41 in Red Zone Touches.
Hamstrings/knees/ankles all caused missed games.
I’m not a big fan of the “injury-prone” tag, unless it’s a history of soft-tissue injuries.
So some are more worry some than others here, but reoccurring hamstrings are scary.
Sanders played in just 12 games in each of last two seasons.
The low ADP makes him intriguing, but I'm mostly out.
But can you trust a RB who has missed so much time?
Regardless, there's touchdown regression in his favor (but Hurts will continue to steal valuable touches).
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