💥 MUST START players for Week 7

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

It’s your Friday Fantasy Fix for Week 7! All the info you need to find success in season-long AND DFS!

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• Who NEEDS to start for you this week 🌟 

• Money-making DraftKings picks 🤑 

• Contrarian plays for tournaments 😈 

• The latest player news from around the league 🏈 

By the way… another profitable TNF slate for the #PropDrop newsletter. Our cover boy Alvin Kamara went absolutely nuclear through the air… just like we said he would.

If you haven’t subscribed yet, what are you doing?! ⬆️

Each week this NFL season, I’ll be chatting with Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) from Sharp Football Analysis about some of the best matchups and DFS plays in the league.

Check out my YouTube channel for the videos.

WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR)

Man, this guy picked up right where he left off.

Kupp has now been back for 2 games. He’s had 35.3% and 42.9% of his team targets in those games. Plus, look at what his opponents, the Steelers, have given up to opposing WR1s:

• Brandon Aiyuk: 8-129-2

• Davante Adams: 13-172-2

• Nico Collins: 7-168-2

The others have also done pretty well, and had the potential for monster numbers too. So, fire up Kupp again and sleep easy.

WR: Stefon Diggs (BUF)

Diggs currently has 100 yards in 4 straight games. Believe it or not, it’s the first time in his career that he’s accomplished that.

This week he plays the Patriots, who love to play aggressive, man coverage vs. Buffalo. Diggs happens to eat that up, and Josh Allen loves to target him against those Patriot looks.

When the Bills play the Pats, and they see man, Diggs:

• Is targeted on 30.4% of his routes

• Has 3.59 yards per route run

He breaks the narrative about Bill Belichick taking away the opposition’s best weapon. He’s scored a TD in each of the last 3 games vs. New England.

RB: Josh Jacobs (LV)

Not many people love to rush to put Jacobs into their lineups, so this tends to be a kind of hold-your-nose pick, but hear me out.

Contrary to reputation, Jacobs has some of the best usage numbers in the league, right up there with CMC and Bijan Robinson, according to Matthew Berry’s Fantasy Life:

Jacobs has at least 20 touches in every game except for one this season, and his target volume goes way up if Aiden O’Connell ends up starting for the Raiders. He was targeted a season-high 11 times when he was under center before.

The matchup doesn’t look great on paper, as the Bears are only allowing 3.5 yards per carry. BUT, they’ve also allowed RBs to score 8 rushing TDs, and 16.1 receiving points per game to opposing backfields. So we might be on to something here with this matchup.

WR: Christian Watson (GB)

Coming out of the bye week, I expect Watson to be fully recovered from injury and ready to go. He ran a route on 85% of the team’s drop backs in his last game, and he was targeted on 22.9% of his routes since returning from the injury. That’s strong.

The Broncos are a juicy matchup here too. They allow:

• 75.8% catch rate (last)

• 7.4% TD rate to WRs (31st)

• 9.9 yards per target to WRs (30th)

• 75.6% catch rate on passes 10+ yards downfield (last)

It’s the last stat that makes me think he’s in line for a big day.

WR: Terry McLaurin (WAS)

Scary Terry is coming off a game where he had a monster share of the team’s targets and air yards, but again, we love the matchup this week.

The Giants blitz at the 3rd-highest rate and they blitzed Washington a ton last season. When Sam Howell faces blitz, Terry has a ridiculous 46.7% of the air yards.

The Giants are also 26th in the league in fantasy points per game allowed to WR1s, as we’ve seen 5 of them go for over 100 yards and a TD.

WR: DK Metcalf (SEA)

We haven’t gotten the boom game from Metcalf just yet, but I think it could be brewing in Week 7. He still leads the team in yards per route run, and he plays on the boundary where Arizona is getting torched.

They are:

• 29th in yards per target allowed to boundary WRs

• 29th in receptions allowed per game to boundary WRs (9.8)

And they get crushed by opposing WR1s, which Metcalf is either the 1a or 1b depending on the week.

CLICK HERE for the #1 MUST START of Week 7

Every single week this season, I’ll post videos of my chats with Jake Ciely (@allinkid) of The Athletic, and DFS tournament player @RyanHodge. We discuss the best DraftKings plays and GPP tournament pivots of the week ahead.

If you want to check these out, subscribe to my YouTube channel.

QB: Sam Howell (WAS) - $5,500

I’m surprised at the price tag for just how good this guy has been lately. He’s been a top-10 fantasy QB in every week except for one where he sort of flamed out. He’s playing the Giants this week, who have been just eaten alive in the passing game, and he still can’t get any respect.

Speaking of the Giants, they run the 2nd-highest rate of man coverage in the league, and these talented Commander WRs, like Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel, both have inflated production against those kinds of looks.

It’s a great week to stack up Howell.

Tournament Pivot: $6,000, projected ownership 10-13%

RB: Kenneth Walker (SEA) - $7,000

Since Week 2, Walker has 18 goal-to-go rushing attempts. That leads the league. And the next closest is David Montgomery (13).

Walker has also course-corrected on something that was a concern last year, which was his short yardage production. He’s been terrific in 2023, and really coming through on the promise we thought we’d see when he came into the league.

Overall, you’d be hard-pressed to find a better guy for goal-line carries than Kenneth Walker this week vs. the Cardinals.

Tournament Pivot: $8,600, projected ownership 7-11%

WR: Rashee Rice (KC) - $4,700

Rashee Rice has seen a massive uptick in usage ever since Justin Watson has been out of the lineup.

Here are some good things about the matchup with the Chargers. They allow the most yards per reception, and Rice leads the Chiefs in yards per route run and yards after the catch. The Chargers allow the 3rd most yards per game to slot WRs, and Rice is the Chief that lines up the most in the slot, over 50% of the time.

So this honestly feels like a week you can SMASH Rashee Rice.

WR: Marquise Brown (ARI) - $5,300

$5,300 feels like a mistake on the part of the fine folks at DraftKings for all the targets he’s been getting. The Seahawks can be vulnerable against the pass, and if Arizona gets burned by Geno Smith and his WRs, then there should be a decent amount of volume there too.

Hollywood is undervalued despite holding the 9th-highest target percentage among all WRs, according to the utilization report from Fantasy Life:

WR: Michael Wilson (ARI) - $3,800

I know he’s been an up-and-down kind of guy so far, but there’s a method to that madness. Wilson has just one single target all season against man coverage. ONE! With zero catches. All of his production comes vs. zone.

Guess what about the Seahawks?

They run the MOST zone coverage in the league (83.7%).

So, even though he’s a rookie, and these things could always go sideways, this feels like a Michael Wilson kind of game to me.

Tournament Pivot: $6,800, projected ownership 3-5%

TE: Luke Musgrave (GB) - $3,300

It’s a difficult week to pay up for someone like Travis Kelce, so I really like Musgrave at his current salary.

In Week 5, before Green Bay’s bye week, Musgrave tied Christian Watson in percentage of plays as Jordan Love’s first read. And Love actually leads the league among qualified QBs in targets to his first read.

I just really like to see that Love kept looking Musgrave’s way even with Watson back on the field.

TE: Michael Mayer (LV) - $2,700

Over the last 2 weeks, Mayer is top-10 in TE targets, ahead of guys like Darren Waller and Dallas Goedert, and 7th in yards.

These stats are relative, I admit, and his route run percentage isn’t where we want it to be. Plus, there’s the question of who’s going to play QB for the Raiders. But, if you can’t fit a guy like Musgrave, Mayer is worth the flier at $2,700 this week.

Tournament Pivot: $3,900, projected ownership 1-3%

DST: Cleveland Browns - $3,300

This is almost a strange one, because the Browns defense in real life is very good. In fantasy football it hasn’t really been there because those two things don’t always correlate.

I believe they can get those points against the Indianapolis Colts this week, who allow a good amount of pressure on the QB.

Tournament Pivot: $2,100, projected ownership 3-5%

🦅 “Don’t Gotta Worry” About this Eagles WR

🙌 Rhamondre Ready to Play?

😩 Steelers TE Limited on Thursday in Downgrade

❤️‍🩹 Pats’ Henry’s Practice Status

⚜ Saints TD Machine Activated from IR

🚑 No Practice for San Fran Fantasy WR/RB Stars

🚨 Saquon Gets In Limited Practice

🐈‍⬛ Panthers Grant WR Permission to Seek Trade

🎮 Cardinals QB Logs Second Straight Practice

🧀 Packers’ Jones Trends in Right Direction

Good luck with the Sunday slate this week! Not that you’ll need it now.

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