More Fantasy Breakouts

Here are more players who I think will breakout this season and are current VALUES at ADP … in two minutes or less.

Justin Fields (NYJ), ADP 113.5, QB15 

Justin Fields has finished Top-10 in fantasy points per game every time he’s been allowed to start a full season. But despite ranking 5th in QB rushing yards per game, 7th in red zone carries, and scoring 5 rushing TDs in just 10 starts last year, he’s somehow being drafted as QB15. So with the NFL’s 5th-easiest passing schedule, no competition behind him, and Garrett Wilson, Breece Hall, and Mason Taylor in his supporting cast, Fields isn’t just a value… he’s the only late-round QB with locked-in QB1 production and a real shot at 1,000 rushing yards.

Matthew Golden (GB), ADP 96.5, WR42

Golden averaged 17 yards per catch and scored 9 touchdowns in his final college season at Texas. But he enters an offense that ranked 19th in pass attempts, yet led the NFL in dropped yards, which signals there’s still massive room for growth in Green Bay. And Jordan Love already called him the most “IMPRESSIVE” newcomer in camp, so you know that early chemistry is real. So even with a WR rotation, Golden’s late-season breakout at Texas (3.52 yards per route run over his final 6 games) and the vacuum left by Christian Watson’s role puts him in position to be the WR1 in an offense that scored in bunches last year. That’s not just upside, that’s a Round 9 pick who could finish as a weekly WR2.

R.J. Harvey (DEN), ADP 64.8, RB24

R.J. Harvey led college football in 15+ yard runs and posted a 30.8% avoided tackle rate vs Power 4 competition. Those are elite numbers no matter how you slice it. But now he steps into a Denver backfield that ranked Top-3 in RB targets and had the 11th-best run block win rate last year. Additionally, Sean Payton just drafted him in Round 2 to be THE guy. So when Payton started him in the first preseason game over J.K. Dobbins... it’s not hype. Harvey’s the most explosive back Payton’s ever drafted, and if he locks in the passing work, RB1 finishes are on the table, starting in Week 1.

Tetairoa McMillan (CAR), ADP 62.8, WR28

McMillan commanded a 31% target share at Arizona, scored 26 career TDs, and went back-to-back 1,300-yard seasons in college. But the real breakout signal is what happened to Carolina after their bye last year: they flipped to a pass-first offense with a +1.4% PROE and averaged 6.9 yards per attempt down the stretch. That was a huge leap for Bryce Young. Now McMillan has zero real target competition, a locked-in WR1 role, and the NFL’s 3rd-easiest passing schedule. So if you’re drafting McMillan as a WR3, your WR room is absolute money. He’s the exact type of big-body, zone-destroying X receiver who dominates early, and he’s about to do it on volume. WR2 production by midseason feels inevitable.

Tucker Kraft (GB), ADP 112.8, TE11 

Kraft ranked 1st in yards after catch per reception, 3rd in fantasy points points per route, and scored 7 touchdowns on just 70 targets last year. But he did all of that in a low-volume, spread-it-around Packers offense, and still finished as the TE9 in total fantasy points. So when Matt LaFleur says, “We have to do a better job featuring the tight end”, and Kraft already has the 2nd-highest designated target rate among all TEs, you have to listen. He’s not some late dart throw, he’s a breakout TE1 with top-5 efficiency, red zone upside, and no alpha WR blocking him. That’s a SMASH pick in Round 10.

So watch as these players hit this year, and boost you to your fantasy playoffs… As promised, in two minutes or less.

Over 12,000 players used this to prep last season. My 2025 Draft Kit is open now, but only a few dozen spots are available this year. I’m keeping it limited so I can give members my full attention.

See you tomorrow,

-Joe