🏆 7 players who can WIN you a championship

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Rise and shine, fantasy warriors! Let's strategize our way to victory!

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• 7 LEAGUE-WINNING draft targets 🎯 

• Vaulted ceilings at every position 🙌 

• On-and-off-field factors to know 🤓 

• What’s happening around the league? 📰 

Mark Andrews (BAL), ADP 29.8, TE2:

In the world of fantasy football TEs, there’s Travis Kelce and everyone else.

Andrews has the only TE1 finish outside of Kelce in 7 years, and the stars are aligned for a repeat.

The statistical signs:

• 5th in ADOT (9.8)

• 4th in RZ targets (18)

• 5th in deep targets (10)

• 1st in target share (29%)

• 1st in total air yards (1,109)

• 2nd in unrealized air yards (517)

The Ravens have some other auspicious signs beyond raw numbers for Andrews.

He was on a tear early last year as TE3 or better in 6 games before he and Lamar Jackson both had injuries.

New OC Todd Monken is expected to bring an increased percentage of passing plays, after Baltimore had been one of the most run-heavy teams.

Jackson and his pass-catchers have all expressed excitement about the new offense. The pace of play will be faster and the volume will go up.

With injury luck, Andrews can be discounted Kelce.

R. Stevenson (NE), ADP 26.7, RB9:

It’s officially StevenSZN!

There’s no clear backup or a threat to Rhamondre’s carries or targets on the Patriots’ roster.

His 63.2% opportunity share ranked 12th last year, but Damien Harris is no longer on the roster.

We know Mondre’s got 3-down skill set:

• 69 receptions (4th)

• 421 receiving yards (7th)

We know he can move with the best of them:

• 3rd in juke rate (40.5%)

• 6th in breakaway runs (15)

• 3rd in evaded tackles (113)

• 6th in yards created per touch (3.43)

And now we know Bill Belichick loves the guy, as ex-Pat James White revealed to reporters the other day.

Rhamondre is also in line for more efficient usage on the field, with Bill O’Brien taking over play calling duties from in-over-his-head Matt Patricia.

The smoother attack should allow for more advantageous play calling and improved play-action.

Stevenson says he’s feeling great going into this year, and we should feel great if we draft him.

He rushed for over 1,000 yards last year and I think he will absolutely get there again.

That’s why I’m taking the OVER on his PrizePicks season-long prop bet of 999.5 yards.

Garrett Wilson (NYJ), ADP 12.7, WR8:

Expectations are high in Jets country with all the new talent, including the legendary Aaron Rodgers.

QB could be what Wilson needs to be a league winner.

He may have already been there if it weren’t for Zach Wilson. Garrett scored 8.6 PPR points per game with Zach, 17.2 with literally anyone else.

Other stats of note:

• 11th in air yards (1,575)

• 6th in unrealized air yards (837)

• 19th in total yards after catch (365)

Garrett’s 19 RZ targets (9th) turned into just 4 TDs, so it’s possible we may see more scoring.

There may be a lot of mouths to feed for Rodgers in NY, but Wilson is the most talented of all, and has the best shot to emerge as the fantasy league winner.

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA), ADP 94.6, QB10:

Put aside the health risk and think about the upside.

Tua was spectacular in ‘22:

• 1st in yards per attempt (8.9)

• 2nd in RZ accuracy rating (8.1)

• 3rd in air yards per attempt (9.3)

• 1st in deep ball completion percentage (50%)

• 4 top-5 fantasy finishes between Weeks 2 and 10

Mike McDaniel has proven he’s a great offensive mind and can utilize Tua’s skill set properly.

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle make one of the best WR duos in the league, and popped off big with Tua.

He’s being drafted as QB10, but he’s got upside to finish far higher and win some fantasy leagues.

Joe Mixon (CIN), ADP 52, RB15:

It seems unlikely that Mixon will have to miss any time this year due to his current legal issue.

The Bengals have stood behind him anyway.

No one else is behind him, at least on the depth chart, so he’ll probably continue to feed:

• 6th in RZ touches (46)

• 7th in target share (13.9%)

• 7th in opportunity share (73.7%)

He wasn’t as efficient as he had been, but still finished as RB10 and had 6 top-11 finishes in 15 games.

Good rule of thumb is to draft guys on good offenses.

The Bengals fit the bill for sure.

So even with a decreased efficiency, Mixon has a very high ceiling in Cincinnati once again.

Calvin Ridley (JAX), ADP 31.9, WR16:

He may be rusty, but was a star when he last played.

In a shortened ‘21, Ridley was:

• 5th in route win rate (51%)

• 7th in target share (27.4%)

• 4th in air yards share (40.0%)

Going back to 2020, Ridley’s last full season, shows us the real upside we’re chasing here:

• 1st in air yards (2,063)

• 1st in deep targets (40)

• 2nd in red zone targets (22)

• 2nd in air yards share (41.4%)

That year, Ridley was 4th in total yards but led the league in unrealized air yards with a whopping 968!

Jacksonville was 9th in the league in pass attempts per game in ‘22 with 35.9.

The opportunity will be there, and Trevor Lawrence’s development may make a perfect match.

Ridley is still 28, he still has some years left to win a comeback player award or a fantasy championship.

Russell Wilson (DEN), ADP 132.6, QB18:

I’ve written a lot about Denver’s skill guys, but what about the guy who will make it all work together?

Wilson has caught a lot of flak for his decline in ‘22, but was he all that bad?

He threw it down the field A LOT, as he was 8th in air yards (4,441) and 1st in deep ball attempts (87).

The problem was, he didn’t connect on them very well.

As recently as ‘21 he was:

• 11th in deep ball accuracy rating (6.3)

• 11th in under pressure accuracy rating (6.4)

He has reported this summer in terrific shape, suggesting maybe he’s got a new commitment level, and his WRs are healthy going into the year.

That includes Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, and Tim Patrick, not to mention TE Greg Dulcich.

With a new coach and another year in Denver, Russ has as good a chance as anyone for a bounce back.

📈 Mighty Purdy Comeback You Got There: QB Trends Up

💎 Speedy Strong: Patriots' Hidden Gem Threatens For Carries

⛔️ Parker in Peril: Cap Casualty Looms if DeAndre Hopkins Signs!

⭐️ Jets' Rising Star? Abanikanda's Path to Stardom

🤷‍♂️ Marcedes, When? Free Agent TE Keeps Teams Guessing!

🏈 Tonyan’s Turns: Veteran Earning Snaps with Bears 1’s

🦁 Lions' QB Setback: Knee Injury Delays Debut Season

🐎 Galloping in the Rockies: Broncos to Establish the Run

💪 Texans Sign EDGE Rookie to Fully Guaranteed Deal

🦬 Bills Extend Plan Through 2027

Until tomorrow, keep on drafting!

The Touchdown Press is a must-read for every NFL fan — pure signal, highly actionable, and one-liners funny enough to make you pee a little bit.

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