🎯 6 breakout fantasy draft targets

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The “fantasy” part about fantasy football is 12 married guys being able to get together for their draft.

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• Which guys will realize full potential 💪 

• Draft targets for every offensive position 💥 

• Stats and scenarios to help you decide 📈 

• Big-name NFL training camp news 🏈 

Jordan Addison (MIN), ADP 71.2, WR33:

If you’re on fantasy football Twitter (is it just X now? I don’t know), chances are you’ve seen some slick plays from this kid over the last few days. He looks athletic and explosive.

At Pitt back in ‘21 he had a MONSTER season with 1,649 scrimmage yards and 18 TDs.

He saw less volume at USC the next year, but still made top-25 in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

Now he steps into one of the league’s prolific attacks, playing across from possibly the best WR in the world.

Kirk Cousins and Minnesota averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game (3rd) in ‘22. And Adam Thielen got 107 targets.

But Thielen was just WR41 in fantasy PPG on some poor efficiency numbers.

Addison can remedy some of that immediately.

He’s got a golden opportunity to step in and help the Vikings reach a new level. Don’t be surprised to find a future star.

Bijan Robinson (ATL), ADP 10.4, RB3:

He’s not a sleeper, because we already know.

But he will be a breakout this season as a rookie.

Atlanta was 2nd in run play percentage last season, even though they often trailed. Tyler Allgeier was the main beneficiary, going for over 1,000 rush yards as a rookie.

However, Robinson is considered the greater talent by a mile.

He has good college stats from ‘22 (12 games):

• 20 total TDs

• 1,580 rush yards

• 16.5 yards per reception

• 104 forced missed tackles

With the return of Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and good backfield mates, Robinson has a true overall RB1 ceiling.

Considering his nose for the end zone, I’m picking him to finish with MORE THAN 8.5 rushing TDs on PrizePicks.

Click below to get in on that.

Gerald Everett (LAC), ADP 126, TE14:

A breakout candidate at age 29? Sure, why not.

Everett finished 2022 with career highs in targets, receptions, yards, air yards and fantasy points per game (9.3, 11th).

He was also:

• 5th in red zone targets (16)

• 9th in total routes run (398)

• 8th in yards after the catch (302)

• 6th in expected fantasy points per game (10.3)

Obviously the Chargers’ offensive situation is promising, with a great amount of production up for grabs.

The one hangup is that LA has a lot of mouths to feed.

However, there’s also a lot of variability there, with aging, injury-prone, and unproven players all over the roster.

In terms of value TEs in your draft, you could certainly do worse.

Marquise Brown (ARI), ADP 50.7, WR27:

The Cardinals offense has some big question marks around Kyler Murray’s return. Will it affect Hollywood?

When Kyler played he was 2nd in accuracy rating (8.2), and Arizona was 4th in pass attempts per game (39.1).

So, the volume plus the QB should mean chances.

The numbers get better when you consider there’s no more D’Andre Hopkins to compete for targets.

When Hop was OUT, Brown had:

• 10.6 targets per game

• 7.1 receptions per game

• 18.25 PPR fantasy points per game

• An impressive 14-catch performance in Week 3

Now it’s Hollywood’s full time role.

Zooming out, Brown had double-digit fantasy points in 7 of 8 Hop-less games, averaging 15.4 PPG over that span.

That would have been 8th over the season.

Even with sub-par QB play expected, and an uncertain timeline for Murray, Hollywood will be the WR1 in Arizona.

It’s not a perfect situation, but the talent is undeniable.

Kenny Pickett (PIT), ADP 201.5, QB19:

If Pickett shows the type of improvement he showed over the course of the SZN as a rookie, he is a lock to break out.

He had some strengths, particularly on deep passes and passes under pressure:

• 1st in deep ball catchable rate

• 6th in deep ball accuracy rating

• 1st in pressured catchable pass rate

• 6th in pressured completion percent

I was most impressed by the Steelers’ penchant for improvement as a team last year.

The offensive line allowed 3 sacks per game from Weeks 1-9, and just 1.3 sacks per game from Week 10 on.

Pickett himself got more comfortable too, throwing just 1 of his 9 picks after his first 5 starts.

I expect him to continue to take care of the football like he did in the back half of the season, and put himself in the conversation as a fantasy football starter and a QB1.

Zay Flowers (BAL), ADP 107.3, WR46:

If you trust guys like Peter King, Flowers is one of the most impressive rookies on the field in camps, showing the ability to separate from defenders and make tough catches downfield.

He was a 4-year contributor at Boston College, culminating in ‘22 when he gained 1,077 yards and scored 12 TDs.

The situation in Baltimore looks favorable for the youngster.

Odell Beckham has questions around whether he can still look like his old self, and Rashod Bateman has injury issues.

If something goes wrong with either of those guys, the odds of Flowers contributing week-to-week rise dramatically.

Plus the volume should be there in the new-look Raven attack.

I expect we’ll all know this kid by midseason.

🚑 Texans' Howard Breaks Hand; Out 4-6 Weeks

🏈 QB Chris Streveler Waived, Future Uncertain

⚡️ Cardinals Activate EDGE Ojulari

🤠 Dallas TE Shakeup: Ferguson Emerges as No. 1

🎯 Slot Solution for Giants: WR Poised for Key Role

🏃‍♂️ Swift Spotlight: RB’s Versatility Shines in Camp

🌟 Giants' Rising Star: WR Hyatt Impresses

🦬 Damien Harris Makes His Case at Bills Camp

⚔️ Bears' RB Battle: Johnson's Pass Protection Edge

📉 Speedster’s Slow Camp Start Concerning Pats

That’s all today. Come back tomorrow for my (current) top-17 draft picks!

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