🕔 5 WRs Going WAY TOO LATE in Drafts

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

It's Throwdown Thursday, Fantasy Football Fanatics! Get ready to dominate the gridiron!

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

  • WRs worth more than their ADP 💸 

  • Late-round names with ACTUAL value 💰

  • What’s going on around the NFL? 🏈 

  • Fantasy-relevant news and notes 📰 

Mike Evans (TB), ADP 67.1, WR34:

Some may have concerns about Mike Evans approaching 30 years old and dealing with an uncertain QB situation.

But here are some wild things he’s NEVER done:

• Earned fewer than 109 targets

• Finished outside the top-25 WRs in PPG

• Played in fewer than 13 games in a season

• Ended a year with less than 13.8 yards per catch

Even in ‘22, one of Tom Brady’s weakest seasons, Evans finished as WR17 and was:

• 16th in ADOT (13.4)

• 3rd in deep targets (31)

• 11th in air yards share (35.4%)

• 10th in unrealized air yards (734)

Plus, he can still out-muscle defenders with the 7th overall contested catch rate.

Baker Mayfield isn’t turning any heads (if he starts), but he was 11th in deep ball accuracy rating and 16th in under pressure accuracy rating.

I think he can support Evans’s production.

Don't underestimate his consistency and potential. Draft him earlier than his ADP suggests and enjoy the rewards of a reliable playmaker!

George Pickens (PIT), ADP 73.7, WR39:

George Pickens had a rollercoaster of a year in 2022, frustrating many fantasy managers with his boom-or-bust performances.

He had as many games with over 16 points as he did under 6 points (5).

My head is spinning.

However, let's not overlook the promising statistics that hint at his potential:

• 3rd in ADOT (15.6)

• 7th in deep targets (28)

• 19th in raw air yards (1,323)

• 13th in contested catch rate (57.1%)

I’ve recently written about how I think the Steeler offense is ready for an uptick in production for 2023. The QB and O-line should both be better.

And doesn’t Pickett to Pickens just feel right?

Take a calculated risk on Pickens. He could outperform this ADP and become a valuable asset on your fantasy roster.

I think he’s poised for more yards than last season (801), which is why I like the OVER bet on his PrizePicks season prop:

Jameson Williams (DET), ADP 96.9, WR49:

Don't let the suspension scare you off. Remember, the most crucial weeks of the fantasy season occur later on, not at the beginning.

Here's why he deserves your attention:

• Williams boasts incredible speed, clocking in at a 4.30 40-time (99th percentile)

• In 2021 at Alabama, he tallied 79 catches for 1,572 yards (19.9 per catch) and 15 touchdowns

• Detroit used a 1st round pick on him, so you know they want to get the return on that

Speaking of the Lions, their offense was consistently productive last year, ranking 5th in points (26.6) and 4th in yards (380) per game.

Those numbers are bolstered by the fact that their defense ranked 28th in points allowed and 25th in yards allowed — great for fantasy football.

Look beyond that six-game suspension and tap Williams’s explosive potential.

He could be a game-changer in the latter part of the season when it truly matters.

Warning shot:

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Nico Collins (HOU), ADP 137.2, WR63:

Nico Collins comes with some uncertainties, including a new offensive system, a rookie QB, and some actual target competition.

But he had a decent stretch from Weeks 10-13:

• 9 targets per game

• Two top-25 finishes

• 2 receiving touchdowns

With the no Brandin Cooks, the target competition comes in the form of 31-year-old Robert Woods (who I actually like), and unproven youngsters.

Rookie QB C.J. Stroud possesses accuracy and a strong arm, and could get things going this year.

Embrace the potential upside and take a shot on Collins. The ADP undervalues his talent, and he could become a steal.

Joshua Palmer (LAC), ADP 211.3, WR92: 

He flew under the radar last year, but he proved he could make an impact.

70 catches on 107 targets is decent production.

He’s worth considering because he can get open:

• 5th in total routes run (582)

• 6th in target separation (2.23)

• 19th in contested catch rate (50%)

Keenan Allen is approaching 31 years old and Mike Williams struggles with injuries.

Even with Quentin Johnston waiting in the wings, Palmer could be in line for increased opportunities.

After all, the Chargers had the 2nd-highest pass play ratio last season, indicating a productive offense with plenty of looks to go around.

Keep an eye on Palmer as a valuable late-round pick. If injuries strike the Chargers' receiving corps, that talent is ready to shine.

🤷‍♂️ Jets RB Return to Lineup Raises Eyebrows: Is Optimism Misplaced?

🚑 Jets' Secondary Takes a Hit: DB Suffers “Serious” Injury

🤕 Veteran WR’s Lingering Knee Issue Sparks Concern for Patriots

🩸 No Bad Blood: DeAndre Hopkins Meets with Former Coach

🐏 Rams' Star Restructures Contract: Is Dalvin Cook on Their Radar?

🎓 Patriots Helping Out QB with College-style Looks

🩹 Chargers' CB Optimistic About Full Recovery for Training Camp

📜 Panthers' Sign 2nd-Round Rookie: Can He Secure Starting Role?

😇 Saints Star Working as A Swiss Army Knife in Offense

🦶 Cardinals Take Precaution with WR’s Foot Issue in Minicamp

That's a wrap for this Thrilling Thursday edition, fantasy football warriors! Keep grinding!

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