- Joe’s Fantasy Football Update
- Posts
- ✅ 5 Incredible Draft Values
5 Draft Value Picks
Today’s list is packed with players whose current ADP provides MASSIVE value in fantasy drafts… in two minutes or less.
|
5. A.J. Brown (PHI), ADP 17.4, WR9
A.J. Brown just had a “down year” and still finished WR12… while missing 4 games and running routes in the most run-heavy NFL offense. But he was 2nd in yards per route run, 4th in yards per target, and led all WRs with a 47% air yard share… despite seeing just 97 total targets, his lowest since his rookie year. The Eagles dropped back just 39.6% of the time in the second half of games last season and ranked dead last in pass attempts overall. But now? They face the NFL’s 8th-easiest passing schedule and have a new OC in Kevin Patullo, who’s already signaling more balance to preserve Saquon Barkley.
So if Philly throws even 2–3 more times per game, Brown’s ceiling unlocks again. And at WR9, you’re getting Top-5 outcome ceiling without the price tag.
4. Drake Maye (NE), ADP 145.2, QB18
Drake Maye averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game across his full starts, which would’ve made him last year’s QB11. That’s despite a patchwork line and what many considered the worst pass-catching group in the league. But now he’s got a healthy Stefon Diggs, rookie Kyle Williams, a new-look O-line with three new starters, and Josh McDaniels calling plays. He also brings sneaky rushing value: Maye ranked 7th in QB rush yards per game. The Patriots draw the NFL’s 2nd-easiest schedule and are expected to be far more competent under Vrabel and McDaniels, which makes Maye’s raw talent a real weapon… especially with red zone reps and camp buzz already building chemistry with Diggs and his other weapons.
So for a late-round QB who’s already flashed top-12 fantasy production, he’s the cheapest dual-threat with actual weekly difference-maker upside.
3. Jordan Mason (MIN), ADP 119.2, RB38
Jordan Mason ranked Top-10 in yards per touch, true yards per carry, and explosive run rate. And he did it while facing stacked boxes on over half his runs. But now he’s no longer buried in San Francisco. The Vikings traded for him, have given him first-team snaps at camp, and are calling it a “1A–1B” split with Aaron Jones. Head coach Kevin O’Connell even said Mason would handle short-yardage and goal-line duties, which is a rare path to TDs for an RB this late. When Mason started last year, he averaged 21.3 touches and 111.8 total yards across 6 games, finishing as a TOP-24 RB in four of them and a legit RB1 in three. And Minnesota’s offense is shaping up to score a lot more this year if the line holds.
So if Jones even slightly breaks down (or even if the split holds) Mason has legit FLEX value and a league-winning ceiling at RB38.
2. Calvin Ridley (TEN), ADP 69.8, WR31
Calvin Ridley led the NFL in air yards, finished 15th in target share, and cleared 1,000 yards, all while playing every game in one of the least catchable QB situations in football. But now he’s got a new OC and the No. 1 overall pick Cam Ward, whose deep ball accuracy has already changed how the offense is being built. Ridley had the 5th-most deep target receptions in the league last year, yet 18.6% of those from Will Levis were innacurate. So the potential with Ward? Massive. The Titans placed Ridley’s locker right next to Ward’s to build chemistry fast, and reports out of OTAs say they’re running extra film and on-field reps to lock in timing. And despite all that dysfunction last year, Ridley still finished as WR30.
So if that was the floor, with the worst QB efficiency of his career, this new setup might finally let Ridley BLOW PAST his WR31 draft slot.
So that’s it. The best values I’ve seen in drafts by ADP this week.
As promised, in two minutes or less.
Over 12,000 players used this to prep last season. My 2025 Draft Kit is open now, but only a few dozen spots are available this year. I’m keeping it limited so I can give members my full attention.
See you tomorrow,
-Joe