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- 💪 4 running backs I can't stop drafting
💪 4 running backs I can't stop drafting
+ Thursday PrizePicks & Rankings Update!
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1. Austin Ekeler (LAC), ADP 6.4, RB3:
67.4% opportunity share (10th) in a high-powered offense.
• 4.4 true yards per carry
• 58.8 yards created over expected (3rd)
• 63 red zone touches (2nd)
Ekeler feels like a can't-miss in this offense!
There's high value in the passing game:
• 15.1% target share (2nd)
• 5.87 targets per game (1st)
• 40.4 rec yards per game (1st)
He has the trust of his coaches and QB.
I like the PrizePicks over on Ekeler at 725.5 rush yards.
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2. Derrick Henry (TEN), ADP 7.5, RB4:
We know the Titans will feed him...
• No.2 opportunity share with (85.7%)
• No.1 in touches per game with (29.6)
• Team is considering extending contract
He can do it all as a runner, including breaking a game wide open on 1 play.
For how big he is...
Henry was No.2 in juke rate (38.8%) in '21.
And still averaged 4.5 yards per carry against the 4th most stacked boxes.
Don't forget ⬇️
D'Onta Foreman's 133 carries are gone.
So there's nothing stopping Henry from picking up where he left off pre foot injury.
3. Dalvin Cook (MIN), ADP 10.4, RB6:
Cook is Minnesota's workhorse.
Mattison averaged only 3.7 carries per game, with Cook in the lineup.
Expect the Vikes to to ride him again.
The advanced metrics look good:
• 11.7% target share (13th)
• 47 red zone touches (9th)
• 8.4% breakaway run rate (4th)
• 20.9% stacked front carry rate (7th)
And if you believe in the law of averages...
Cook's 6 TDs in '21 were his lowest in three years by a long shot.
Touchdown progression is a lock in '22.
4. Alvin Kamara (NO), ADP 22.2, RB11:
It seems like Kamara has been a RB1 in fantasy for many years, but he’s still just 26.
He was PPR RB4 before Winston got hurt, and he's back.
Kamara is fully capable of being THE RB1.
Taking a peek underneath the hood of '21:
• 3rd in dominator rating
• 1st in RB target share (20.2%)
• Top-10 in receptions and yards.
• 6th in opportunity share (78.5%)
And don't worry about Mark Ingram...
Saints were 3rd in run-pass ratio.
Plenty of carries to go around.
There is concern about a possible suspension...
But Kamara is a risk worth taking.
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-Joe