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4 Running Back STEALS for 2022 + Monday PrizePicks & Rankings Update

FREE bets, fantasy picks, & rankings!

Good Afternoon. Welcome back to The Joe Holka Newsletter. Your daily source for all things fantasy football & sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Let's get started.

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3 FREE PICKS today (see below)

1. Darrel Williams (ARI), ADP 172.5, RB53:

No, he won't be the week 1 starter, but consider James Conner in '21:

• 15 healthy games were the most in his career.

• YPC dropped to a lackluster 3.7

• Considerably lower target share per game than C. Edmonds (4.4 vs. 2.6)

With Edmonds gone, Williams should get those targets.

He averaged 19 points per game when he was the starter.

He cracked the top ten in RB receptions.

He was 11th in fantasy points per touch.

AND he has a higher YPC than Conner.

It certainly doesn't hurt that Mahomes spoke in his support.

ADP is sky-high. Grab him.

2. Darrell Henderson (LA), ADP 146.7, RB46:

It’s no secret that the Rams prefer Akers

However…

Henderson scored 13.6 PPR points per game when healthy.

For comparison:

• Clyde Edwards-Helaire (11.7)

• Tony Pollard (10.8)

Much higher price tags on those guys.

Zoom in further:

Henderson in weeks 1-10 was top-12 back before injuries.

Michel is out of the way.

Health of Akers is not a sure bet.

Upside is there and price is right at RB46.

3. Breece Hall (NYJ), ADP 46.7, RB18:

This ranking seems more than fair for a rookie headed to the Jets, but hear me out.

Jets gave up draft capital, so he projects to be the starter.

Skill-wise he has 3 down potential.

The good stuff?

2,300 yards after contact since 2019. Tops in all of college football.

Second best speed score (per Football Outsiders) in the draft.

Big-play potential. 53% of yards came on carries over 15 yards.

The cherry?

His closest comparison is J. Taylor.

Remember how that worked out in '21?

Owners can expect better than RB18.

I just the over (800.5 rush yards) today.

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4. J.K. Dobbins (BAL), ADP 56.7, RB21:

When a young guy goes missing for a whole season, we tend to forget them.

Don’t forget Dobbins.

In 2020, he was just 24th best fantasy back. BUT...

He averaged 6 yards per carry!

In fact, that season, Dobbins ranked:

• No.5 in juke rate

• No.4 in breakaway runs

• No.3 in yards per touch

• No.1 in true yards per carry

In other words, he was a stud.

For a chance on those numbers, he's well worth the value at RB21.

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- Joe