👊 4 breakout RBs about to SMASH your expectations

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1. Javonte Williams (DEN), ADP 23, RB12:

Melvin Gordon exists, but it's priced in.

Russell Wilson's arrival should boost the passing game (and entire offense).

Williams and Gordon are spooky similar rushers (on paper in 2021):

• Total Yards: 919 vs. 903

• True Yards Per Carry: both at 4.2

• Juke Rate: 9th vs. 8th

• Evaded Tackles: 7th vs. 6th

But Williams shines...

Is as a receiver:

• Williams: 43 receptions (13th), 81.1% catch rate

• Gordon: 28 receptions (41st), 71.8% catch rate

Wilson helps the efficiency of both.

However…

Williams is a rising young player.

He has a higher ceiling than Gordon at this point.

Both are probably buys at ADP.

PrizePicks has his over/under at 925.5 rushing yards for the season.

That's much lower than earlier in the year where we took the Under.

Time to middle!

2. Travis Etienne (JAX), ADP 36.3, RB16:

The price is a bit higher than the last time we broke this down... but I'm still in.

He's taking hits and making plays already in camp.

This is a great sign...

Consider Etienne’s numbers for Clemson in 2020:

• 5.4 yards per carry

• 48 catches

• 12.2% target share

This suggests an existing comfort with T. Lawrence.

(enticing for PPR leagues)

Also encouraging: 55 runs over 20 yards over four years at Clemson!

The Jags are ready for Etienne to realize his first-round pedigree.

This is a breakout candidate to double down on!

3. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE), ADP 95, RB32:

Sure, he’s behind Harris...

But the Pats were 7th in run-pass percentage last year.

There’s room for both guys to be productive in best ball leagues.

Stevenson should be ready to make a 2nd-year push.

He dropped decent numbers in 2021:

• 4.3 true yards per carry

• 9.6 fantasy points per game

• Top 20 in breakaway run rate

• Elite 35.4% juke rate (no.4 in NFL)

But here’s the juiciest detail…

Stevenson was 4th in the league in yards after contact per rush!

The first three?

R. Penny, J. Taylor, N. Chubb.

That company puts Stevenson firmly in breakout territory.

I love grabbing him at RB32.

4. Chase Edmonds (MIA), ADP 92, RB29:

What can we gain from his time in AZ?

• 4.7 true yards per carry in 2021

• 3.5 rec/gm since the start of 2020.

When J. Conner was injured:

19.95 PPR points/gm (Weeks 16-17)

Small sample, but huge upside!

Also, in 2021, Edmonds was...

•12th in juke rate

•11th in breakaway runs

• strong catch rate (81.1%),

• solid yards per reception (7.2)

He's starting to separate from Raheem Mostert in camp already.

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