😮 3 Upside WRs you can draft late

WE ARE BACK.

It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

It’s Sunday, but it’s the offseason so who cares?

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• Late round WRs with BIG upside 📈 

• OTA news from around the NFL 🏈 

• Injuries and cuts from this weekend ✍️

• Football content to liven up your Sunday 😀 

Marquise Brown (ARI), ADP 63.2, WR33:

If there’s a big winner to the DeAndre Hopkins release, it’s got to be Hollywood Brown. He produced when Hopkins was out of the lineup.

In the first 6 weeks (during the Hopkins suspension), Brown averaged:

• 10.6 targets

• 7.1 catches (including 14 in Week 3)

• 18.25 fantasy points

Over 8 total games without D-Hop, the speedster had double-digit fantasy points in 7, averaging 15.4. Extrapolated over the season it would have been good enough for WR8 in PPG.

There was an especially potent stretch from Weeks 3-5, when he scored 20.8 or MORE fantasy points in every game.

All this is to say that Brown should benefit production-wise from his ex-teammates’ absence.

Season-long, Brown still had a respectable 23.7% target share (22nd).

There is a big, nagging question though: when will Kyler Murray return?

Murray wasn’t dynamic last season, and he missed most of the back half, but he was 2nd in accuracy rating (8.2), and the Cardinals were 4th in raw pass attempts per game (39.1), suggesting the volume will be there.

Rondale Moore and Greg Dortch have some talent and standalone upside too, but they seem more like Hollywood’s costars.

Courtland Sutton (DEN), ADP 95.1, WR48:

It feels like the whole fantasy world (myself included) is high on a big Broncos turnaround, and Jerry Jeudy has been the WR with the most emphasis.

What about Courtland Sutton?

He was underwhelming last yea, finishing in the PPR top-20 just 3 times. And those came from Weeks 2-4 before he sort of faded.

Sutton did have his chances last season:

• 100% route participation

• 25th in target share (23.5%)

• 11th in deep targets (25)

• 17th in unrealized air yards (693)

These are all decent opportunity numbers.

Did Sutton get open?

Sutton was 2rd overall in route win rate (44.3%), and was 10th in the same category vs. man.

The biggest issue was that Russell Wilson’s target accuracy to Sutton put him 63rd among all wideouts. Yuck.

The optimism for the upcoming season starts with the arrival of Sean Payton in Denver.

He could be the elixir this offense needs to function together. His offenses in New Orleans were nearly always in the top 3rd of the league.

Russell Wilson has insisted his is committed to the team and he showed up in great shape after losing a lot of weight in the offseason.

Sutton was overall WR43 last year, but if the big Bronco revival happens as we all seem to think, he’ll be a big boom candidate.

If you want in on some of Danger Russ’s production, check out his PrizePicks prop. With some better coaching I think he can hit it.

Michael Thomas (NO), ADP 92.9, WR47:

I officially have a toxic relationship with Michael Thomas. I just keep going back only to regret it.

“He’s a former fantasy WR1,” I keep telling myself…

Ok, 2019 was eons ago in NFL terms, but at WR47, there’s a chance for solid value, and I’ll tell you why.

We have to go back to 2020 for a sample, but over 7 games Thomas was:

• 1st in air yards share (42.5%)

• 1st in true catch rate (97.6%)

• 15th in yards per route run (2.22)

• 6th in contested catch rate (75%)

Again, it’s a long time ago, and it isn’t much to go on, but the Saints themselves are optimistic about Thomas’s health going into the year.

Thomas himself claims he’s healthy and will be 100% ready to go on the first day of camp (per ESPN). He’s also been forming a nice relationship with his QB.

Can Derek Carr drive him to fantasy relevance?

Carr’s metrics (and the eye test) are underwhelming, but he can sling it when he must, and he supported the overall WR3 in Davante Adams last season.

Adams caught 14 TDs while leading the league in raw air yards on the 2nd-most deep targets.

I know Thomas is not Adams, but I do think it will help playing next to the talented Chris Olave, with whom he can form a solid tandem for Carr.

There’s also the little issue of whether or not Alvin Kamara will be on the field, and how that may affect target distribution.

Regardless of how it all shakes out, I think a mid-90s ADP is worth the dice roll.

Until he burns me again, of course.

⭐️ Former Superstar to Mentor Rising Star Jameson Williams

🐴 Injury Update - This Broncos LB’s Season Opener in Jeopardy

🔦 Vikings RB Thrust into Spotlight After Cook's Exit

😮 Titans Rookie Dominating Offseason Workouts

💪 Triumphant Comeback for Tennessee Defender

🟧 Browns WR’s Return Uncertain - OTAs Update

⚡️ Chargers CB Cleared for Drills - Ready to Dominate!

✂️ Free Agent Frenzy Begins! Cowboys Cut DE

🦁 Lions TE Shines as Red Zone Nightmare

🔥 Rookie RB Poised to Ignite Seahawks' Offense

That’s all for today. Come back tomorrow for more content to make your work week just a bit better.

The Touchdown Press is a must-read for every NFL fan — pure signal, highly actionable, and one-liners funny enough to make you pee a little bit.

If this one didn’t hit the spot, reply to this email... I would love to hear from you on how you think we can do better next time.