😞 3 More RB Busts (not worth it)

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1. Leonard Fournette (TB) ADP 23, RB11:

[insert fat-Lenny joke here]

But honestly, weighing in at over 260 pounds at minicamp isn't great.

Can he lose that weight and keep his elite RB traits in a couple of months?

Maybe.

The new 3-year contract is a good sign.

Not showing up to OTAs was not.

Rachaad White was drafted 91st overall and profiles as a 3-down back.

Expect White to see time early, and if he impresses, his role will grow.

And don't underestimate Gronk's impact on the running game.

Taking Fournette at RB11 is a giant risk

2. Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ADP 40.3, RB17:

Potential bust with an ADP near Hall (42.5) and Etienne (34.5).

Don't fall in love with the name here.

Pollard is poised to take more work than ever this season.

Zeke's massive workload over the last few years is starting to show.

• No.39 in True Yards per carry.

• No.45 in Breakaway Run Rate.

He's been a top-12 RB1 in only 35% of games over the last 2 years.

Last year, Zeke was in that range as often as David Montgomery.

The potential for the bust is huge.

3. Damien Harris (NE) ADP 90.3, RB29

Drafting a bust with an ADP in the 90s probably won't end your season.

However...

That doesn't mean the opportunity cost at this range is insignificant.

Take a Pollard ADP 82.1 or Stevenson ADP 107.1 instead.

Why?

Touchdown regression is coming.

Harris scored 15 TDs on 202 carries.

The year before (with Newton at QB) it was 2 TDs on 137 carries.

Understandably, Stevenson is getting the hype... but this is a timeshare.

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