👑 3 players who will multiply your odds of winning

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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Saturday night’s alright for drafting…

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

  • How this QB HURTS your opponents 💨 

  • Why this Panther RB can improve by MILES 🐈‍⬛ 

  • PAT yourself on the back with this TE pick 👏 

  • All the very latest from NFL training camps 🚨 

Jalen Hurts (PHI), ADP 28.9, QB2:

I realize I’m not exactly treading new ground with this one, but hear me out for a minute.

Eagles coach Nick Sirianni recently opened up about the improvement and consistency Hurts has shown, going so far as to say he’s like another coach out there with his knowledge and deep study habits.

That’s news that should put the rest of the league on notice.

We all know ground game is now essential to the elite fantasy QBs, and Hurts ran ragged behind that top-tier offensive line:

  • 1st in carries per game (11)

  • 1st in red zone carries (43)

  • 1st in rushing touchdowns (13)

  • 4th in total rushing yards (760)

And don’t think that Hurts didn’t also carry his weight in passing efficiency, either:

  • 6th in accuracy rating (8.0)

  • 3rd in yards per attempt (8.0)

  • 4th in true passer rating (97.8)

  • 8th in deep ball completion percentage (42.4%)

He was also one of just a small handful of guys to finish top-10 in passer rating vs. man (6th) and zone (4th).

Of course, that all added up to the QB1 in fantasy PPG (25.6).

Jalen’s excellent supporting cast isn’t going anywhere. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are one of the elite WR duos. When you throw in Dallas Goedert, the attack looks deadly again.

Hurts boosted a TON of fantasy teams, and even though his ADP is a lot steeper now, he’s still primed to dominate.

Some sports books have Hurts listed as the favorite to lead the NFL in rushing TDs.

PrizePicks has him going down to 9.5, despite losing Miles Sanders to free agency (11 TDs).

Miles Sanders (CAR), ADP 51.3, RB19:

Today’s controversial pick.

Lots of analysts are down on Sanders and his new situation in Carolina, but I have some good reasons to feel hopeful.

First off, guys with 483 RB touches have left the team since last season, opening up a TON of chances.

And Sanders is a talented guy, still showing good juice in ‘22:

  • 5th in rush yards (1,269)

  • 9th in rushing touchdowns (11)

  • 14th in true yards per carry (4.7)

That’s not bad considering how much rushing opportunity Jalen Hurts ate up in that Philadelphia offense.

However, since catching 50 passes as a rookie in 2019, the passing work has been missing from his game.

That could change now that he’s reunited with his old RB coach Duce Staley, who’s been open about wanting to help Sanders recover some of that production.

With a raw, young QB, the team may actually have the double whammy of leaning more on the running game, and turning to a higher percentage of checkdowns — both good for Miles.

Yes, Chuba Hubbard is still part of the equation, but I’m not sold on him as a full time back. He had just the 61st opportunity share in ‘22, and sat on the bench behind D’Onta Foreman.

Ultimately, Sanders can improve on his 12.7 fantasy PPG this season on a team with fewer mouths to feed.

I’m buying the revival.

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Pat Freiermuth (PIT), ADP 107.9, TE10:

‘Muth and Darren Waller are probably my two favorite TE targets. The difference is that you can probably grab ‘Muth 2 rounds later, so I’m loving the value.

Last year, Big Pat was a TE1 in 9 of his 15 games played, and showed some pretty good metrics:

  • 8th in ADOT (8.7)

  • 3rd in deep targets (12)

  • 9th in target share (19%)

  • 8th in air yards share (18.4%)

  • 9th in yards after the catch (286)

And if you believe in this sort of thing, he may be due for more TDs, as he went from 7 in 2021 to just 2 last year, despite an increase in targets, receptions, yards, and yards per catch.

I’m a member of the Kenny Pickett club this summer, so I really like the Steelers’ offensive situation.

The offensive line gelled as the season went on, and Pickett himself cut WAY down on his mistakes after Week 9, throwing just 1 of his 9 picks.

One knock on Freiermuth is that he’s not the best blocker on the line of scrimmage. The addition of rookie Darnell Washington may help to offset some of that.

If Washington can stay in-line and block, Freiermuth can run routes from where he’s much more efficient: the slot.

His yards per route run was 2.28 from the slot, and 1.46 from the line of scrimmage (stats per Nick Farabaugh of SteelersNow).

If this situation plays out, Big Pat has top-3 upside.

🔥 Bateman's Baltimore Comeback: "Chance to Shine"

🦅 Eagles Guard Sills Cleared For Action

🏈 Ravens DB Mullen: From Waivers to Reserve

🏃‍♂️ Colts Sign Veteran RB: What’s It Mean for JT?

💰 Cowboys Hook S Malik In Big Extension

❌ Seahawks WR Eskridge Suspended Six Games

🔒 Chiefs EDGE Omenihu Suspended for Six Games

🏈 Lions' LaPorta Steps Up as TE1 in Detroit

🥊 Saints' Kamara Gets 3-Game Suspension

👀 Dolphins WR Berrios Eyes Third Receiver Spot

Don’t forget to talk about these picks when you go out with the boys this weekend.

The Touchdown Press is a must-read for every NFL fan — pure signal, highly actionable, and one-liners funny enough to make you pee a little bit.

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