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  • 🤑3 Games to STACK on DraftKings if you want to WIN in Week 5

🤑3 Games to STACK on DraftKings if you want to WIN in Week 5

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Trying to WIN on DraftKings this Week?

Then you better get these 3 games right...

We can help with that, read this:

As usual, I met with @LordReebs to discuss the DFS games of Week 5.

If you want a shot at winning, you need to hit these.

Here we go.

5 weeks in and the evidence is building. 

It feels like we're figuring out the field.

Let's stop grasping at straws, and talk about the right big games.

Philadelphia at Arizona (+5):

How good are the Eagles?

They haven't trailed for even one snap in the second half. 

Jalen Hurts ($8,100) is third in overall fantasy points this year. 

Only 13.6 of them have come in 2nd halves.

What will happen when a team can match what Philly is doing?

The numbers will be even more bananas.

The supporting cast feels it too:

A.J. Brown has just 10 2nd half catches. 

Dallas Goedert only has 4. 

When they play a full game, look out.

On the other side, Arizona has had a horrid rollout on the season.

They're 32nd in explosive play rate. 

But...

Kyler Murray ($7,400) is still capable.

He's actually 2nd in fantasy points in the 2nd halves of games.

The bizarro Hurts!

If the Cardinals start better, we could have something here. 

Murray widens the range of this game's outcomes.

Giving it real pop off potential.

What about the receivers?

He's expensive, but Marquise Brown ($7,200) is worth a look.

72% weighted opportunity rating puts him squarely in play.

For savings, Rondale Moore ($4,100) could help you out.

He pushed Greg Dortch back to the shelf when he came back,

And had 10.4 yard depth of target.

Remember, the ghost of A.J. Green ($4,300) is playing this week.

If he bumps Moore back to the slot, the production should follow. Why?

The Eagles are vulnerable there.

Speaking of Moore…

8 fantasy points on PrizePicks feels like an easy over pick for me.

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Let's talk RBs in this game.

Miles Sanders ($6,500) finally found the end zone in Week 4. 

Game script is so big for him. 

If Philly is up, he should be fed.

But he sort of needs that,

with just 8 catches for 35 yards this year.

It keeps his floor pretty low.

As for James Conner ($6,300), he's had it rough. No one wants him right now.

He's averaging just 3.2 YPC.

Last year it was 3.7, but no one cared.

That's because he had 15 TDs. Not so anymore.

Plus Philly's front is really good.

I think we'll fade Conner this week.

Our last interesting name for this game is Dallas Goedert ($4,700). 

The slate is missing all the elite TEs.

No Travis Kelce, no Mark Andrews, no Darren waller. 

Goedert has actual, real upside.

He makes explosive plays; he averages 15 yards per catch.

TEs have scored 27.2% of points scored against Arizona. 

Goedert is worth that flyer this week.

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LA Chargers at Cleveland (+2.5):

As a game, this one may be overlooked. 

But these teams played a MASSIVE shootout last season. 

And the Browns offense is more intriguing than you think.

Let's start with the Chargers…

Justin Herbert ($7,100) shook off the ribs. 

He had 48 drop backs in this game in '21.

Plus 400 yards and 4 TDs. 

Cleveland's pass D hasn't been good.

How bad is it?

The Browns:

• 18th in TD rate allowed

• 20th in pass points per game

• 19th in yards allowed per attempt

And that's all against bad QBs.

So this is a great spot for Herbert.

Austin Ekeler ($7,800) is a safe bet to perform. 

He'll be the most popular player in the game by a long shot.

Sort of has the best of both worlds.

Obviously he's the lead rusher.

And if LA has to pass, he's still involved.

As for the Wideouts…

Keenan Allen may not play this week.

That opens it up again for Big Mike Williams ($7,100) 

Sure, it's been a roller coaster for Mike,

But here's more Cleveland D metrics:

Allowed 12 completions on throws more than 15 yards downfield.

Allow 15.5 yards per catch (31st).

RunTheSims has Mike Williams at the 7th highest optimal rate in Week 5.

It's a nice bet.

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Gerald Everett ($4,200) is worth mentioning for a cheaper stack.

Let's talk Joshua Palmer ($5,100) though.

Played 95% of the team's drop backs while Allen was out last week.

Had 8 targets vs KC.

And he was the best player vs. the Jags.

The Browns have some interesting RBs.

We know they'll try and run it. 

LA is allowing 6.1 YPC to RBs.

Essentially a Nick Chubb ($8,000) per game.

Careful though...

It's a hefty price if he doesn't score.

If Cleveland is forced to pass, then Kareem Hunt ($6,000) becomes the guy.

So does Amari Cooper ($6,000) who won't be popular this week. 

His target shares are very strong, and he's had big games already.

Plus, LA gives up 18 PPR PPG to WR1s.

One guy we're hesitant about is David Njoku ($3,800).

LA is strong vs TEs. 

No one at the position has scored a TD against them. 

Including Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. 

Tread lightly with Njoku this week.

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Tennessee at Washington (+1.5):

I think more people should be on this game.

It has some pieces on both sides.

@LordReebs thinks both QBs are in play. 

Really?

Ryan Tannehill ($5,800) has played well:

• 11 in comp rate

• 5th in yards per attempt

• 11th in EPA per drop back

• 11 fantasy passing points per attempt

And Washington can't defend:

• 13.6 yards per catch

• 18th in yards per attempt

• 7.3% TD rate to opposing QBs

If you've watched the Commanders, you've seen blown coverages all over the place. 

They're actually decent against the run, too, which boosts Tannehill more. 

On the other side, we have Carson Wentz ($5,700).

In the first 2 weeks he was QB3 and QB5.

Yes, he's tailed off, but he's been pressured badly.

Tennessee hasn't been great at that. 

They've allowed QBs to feast a bit. 

It makes both guys interesting DFS plays.

How about this game's pass catchers?

It starts with Terry McLaurin ($6,200).

Is this the week we can stop worrying about him and just click?

Jahan Doctson isn't playing. 

Boundary receivers have 75% catch rate vs the Titans.

and on throws of 20+ yards, they allow 65% comp rate.

McLaurin could hit 20 points.

Washington's best value play might be Logan Thomas ($3,200). 

Tennessee has been weak vs TEs, too.

They allow 11.3 yards per target, 

putting Thomas on the board.

For Tennessee, don't shy away from Robert Woods ($5,200).

Treylon Burks is out with turf toe, and someone will attack that WAS defense.

Isn't the sexiest pick, but we like the cost.

Finally, we can't talk Titans without…

The big dog, Derrick Henry ($8,200) will cost you top dollar in Week 5. 

He's really running downhill showing explosiveness lately. AND,

He's actually been running some routes.

(with drops, but still)

Even 3 catches can help on DraftKings.

Take him if you can pay.

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