📈 3 breakout wide receivers

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1. Christian Kirk (JAX) ADP 87.4, WR42:

The Jags overpaid to sign him. Right?

Regardless... you don't pay $72 million over 4 years to ignore that asset.

PlayerProfiler compares him to S. Diggs.

New head coach Doug Pederson, loves to pass. That much we know.

Top 10 pass volume offense 3 of 5 years in Philly.

Never finished lower than No.13.

With Zay Jones and Marvin Jones Jr. on roster, Kirk's role will be slot heavy.

This worked out great last year in Arizona.

Most people don't realize Kirk was top-25 in target separation in 2021.

Also...

Kirk commanded a 21% target share without Nuk Hopkins in the lineup

2. DJ Moore (CAR) ADP 37.4, WR18:

Most people agree there is elite-level talent here in QB purgatory.

Sam Darnold has done nothing to prove he can be a long-term answer.

That said⤵️

Darnold is entering a contract year, and 2021 proved he LOVES Moore.

D.J. averaged 9.5 targets per game (6th)

Problem is...

Only 71.6% of those targets were catchable balls (71st)

It's hard to ignore his top-3 air yards share (36%) and top-10 target rate per route run.

PrizePicks has Moore's over/under at 1150.5 rec yards and 4.5 Rec TDs.

This is one of those rare times I'm bearish on the total yards and bullish on the TDs.

Agreed?

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3. Elijah Moore (NYJ) ADP 66.5, WR32:

I carried Moore in '21, waiting for the breakout.

His 16.1 fantasy points per game isn't insignificant if extrapolated a full season.

Feels like I was a year early because...

Injuries and COVID cut his '21 short.

Weeks 9-13 Moore had 3 WR Top 10 FPPG finishes.

Was WR1 in Week 9 and WR3 in Week 11.

That late-season run makes Moore a breakout candidate.

Only concern is fewer targets.

Rookie Garrett Wilson logged 103 targets at OSU in '21.

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