2 big-name WRs you should AVOID + Tuesday PrizePicks & Rankings Update

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• FREE Fantasy Football Rankings UPDATE!

1. Tyreek Hill, Dolphins, ADP 21.7, WR9:

• New team, new contract, NEW QB.

Two of those are massive downgrades.

And I'm concerned enough to rank Hill just outside my Top-10 WRs.

Why?

I'm not convinced Tyreek will retain the 25.1% target share he had in KC.

Waddle's 24.8% target share should dip, but you can grab him a round later.

But there's more...

Despite a career-high 159 targets, Tyreek's 2021 provided some red flags:

• 7.8 yds/tgt (lowest since rookie year)

• 81st in contested catch rate

• 56th in win rate vs. man coverage

We need the deep ball usage, we have come to love... back in 2022 at this ADP.

But does that even matter?

Tua is an accurate, but short-ball thrower (31st in Air Yards/Attempt)

He also ranked 28th in Deep Ball Attempts (over 20 yards).

I prefer RBs Aaron Jones & Leonard Fournette in this ADP range, currently.

If you are dead set on grabbing a piece of this offense, these shares are safer:

• Waddle (WR15)

• Edmonds (RB35)

• Gesicki (TE13)

That said... I don't love the upside.

2. A.J. Brown, Eagles, ADP 23.6, WR10:

Brown is a physically talented and young WR, but can he stay healthy?

• Had surgery on both his knees in the off-season

• Has missed multiple games each of the last two seasons

Regardless, here's the biggest concern:

Volume is everything in fantasy football.

Will Brown get enough targets to justify his current draft slot?

A.J. Brown has been the model of efficiency... sure.

But that doesn't excuse the risk here.

• 24th at WR in PPR points/game in 2021 and is being drafted as WR10.

Woof.

He's leaving one non-passing offense (TEN 26th) for another (PHI-29th)

It comes down to how much you believe in Jalen Hurts...

Is he a better passer than R. Tannehill?

I'll be drafting T. Higgins and K. Allen at the 2/3 turn every time over Brown.

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- Joe