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It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your #1 source for all things fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.

Welcome to another mid-August Monday. Can’t you just hear all the draft boards being set up around the nation?

Today in 5 minutes or less, you’ll learn:

• Draft targets at every position 🎯 

• Simmering values about to EXPLODE 💣

• The upside that wins championships 🏆

• News on NFL injuries, signings, and cuts 📰 

Lamar Jackson (BAL), ADP 47, QB4:

Jackson enters the season with a new offensive coordinator, Todd Monken, who is redesigning the Raven scheme.

With rookie WR Zay Flowers emerging as a true talent, and the healthy returns of Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, and J.K. Dobbins, Lamar may be set up better than any season since 2019’s MVP year.

Don’t forget he’s one of the best in the league when it comes to the QB cheat code — rushing prowess:

• 3rd in carries per game (9.3)

• 3rd in total rushing yards (764)

• 2nd in rushing yards per game (63.7)

Fantasy-wise, we’re in for a ride!

Tony Pollard (DAL), ADP 16, RB4:

Without Ezekiel Elliott vulturing all of those red zone touches, Pollard can utilize his elite athleticism full time:

• 5th in yards per touch (5.9)

• 2nd in yards per reception (9.5)

• 4th in yards per route run (1.82)

• 4th in breakaway run rate (8.8%)

• 8th in yards created per touch (3.30)

Pollard was 8th in fantasy PPG (15.2) on just the 34th opportunity share (48.1%).

Ultimately, if can handle the wear and tear of a full season, he’s got overall RB1 potential in ‘23.

Garrett Wilson (NYJ), ADP 16.4, WR11:

Has anyone had a better QB upgrade than Wilson?

He’s going from Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco to Aaron Freaking Rodgers, one of the best ever.

Last year, Wilson was:

• 6th in total targets (147)

• 11th in raw air yards (1,575)

• 6th in unrealized air yards (837)

Plus he only scored 4 TDs on 19 RZ targets.

Draft this guy in round 2 for his immense talent.

James Cook (BUF), ADP 81.3, RB26:

Cook’s been touted in training camp so far as a three-down talent who’s performing well.

Now that Devin Singletary is gone, that 31.2% opportunity share should rise up, and Cook looks like the passing down back too.

He was fairly explosive last SZN:

• 3rd in yards per touch (6.3)

• 2nd in true yards per carry (5.30)

• 1st in breakaway run rate (12.1%)

Damien Harris may actually take some of the goal line work.

However, Cook’s role as RB1 looks to be shaping up.

He’ll be the guy.

Brandon Aiyuk (SF), ADP 60.8, WR31:

He went for over 1,000 yards last season to finish as WR15.

The reason is the guy gets open…

• 13th in route win rate (47.8%)

• 3rd in target separation (2.31)

With solid raw volume:

• 11th in TDs (8)

• 11th in snap share (91.1%)

• 16th in air yards share (32.5%)

• 17th in yards after the catch (326)

As one of the great athletes on that 49er offense, I believe he’s a great value pick at the end of round 5.

Aiyuk has an interesting PrizePicks SZN-long prop.

They have him listed for just 1.5 games of 100+ receiving yards.

Even though he only had 1 last year, I think he’s got it.

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), ADP 30.4, RB11:

Gibbs has been one of my guys all offseason, due to the situation he finds himself in.

D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams combined for 421 touches last season (361 carries and 60 catches). Both are gone.

Some ‘22 highlights from college:

• 926 rush yards

• 444 receiving yards

• 4.36 40-time at combine (99th%)

• 53% breakaway rate (5th in draft class)

Gibbs has 3-down talent and should showcase it for Detroit.

Treylon Burks (TEN), ADP 74.4, WR30:

The DeAndre Hopkins signing only boosts Burks’s stock, as it will ensure opponents are preoccupied.

In ‘21 at Arkansas, he caught 66 passes for 1,104 yards and 11 TDs on a 29.3% target share.

There isn’t much NFL data yet, as he only caught 33 balls as a rookie, but he did get it going in Week 11 between injuries:

• 7 grabs

• 111 yards

• 18.1 PPR points (WR12)

He got the improvement around him, now with injury luck he can let his talents show out.

Hunter Henry (NE), ADP 206, TE24:

New England is one of the most slept-on teams this year, and they deserve it after ‘22.

But, Henry caught 9 TDs from Mac Jones in ‘21, and has been the favorite target in camp so far.

OC Bill O’Brien has shown Henry and Mike Gesicki film from the Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez days.

Back then, he got tremendous production out of both TEs.

If he can do it again, Henry’s stock soars.

Christian Watson (GB), ADP 54.8, WR26:

Watson’s got physical tools. He ranked 95th percentile or better in 40-time, speed score, burst, and catch radius.

He also knows how to make the most of his chances:

• 15th in yards per target (9.4)

• 12th in yards per route run (2.20)

• 16th in contested catch rate (53.3%)

• 1st in fantasy points per target (2.52)

• 4th in yards after catch per reception (per PFF).

Watson looks to be the clear-cut no. 1 guy for the Packers and Jordan Love. Breakout incoming.

Miles Sanders (CAR), ADP 59.7, RB19:

I get this is a controversial pick.

But Sanders in ‘22 was:

• 5th in rush yards (1,269)

• 9th in rushing touchdowns (11)

• 14th in true yards per carry (4.7)

And RBs who left Carolina had 483 touches last season.

If Sanders gets involved in the pass game like they’re saying he will, he will have the volume to be very good.

Nico Collins (HOU), ADP 117.1, WR53:

Collins should win the WR1 role for the Texans.

At 6’4” and 215 pounds, Collins can outmuscle defenders for contested catches — and he showed it.

He was 4th in true catch rate (112.1%) and 2nd in contested catch rate (66.7%) in ‘22.

Perhaps the most promising thing is the way he’s already built a rapport with rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who will try to bring his accuracy, arm strength, and mechanics.

And while the Texans project to improve from 3-13-1 record, they’ll still trail. It bodes well for passing game usage.

In summary, I think Collins has a shot to DESTROY this ADP and provide valuable fantasy production for your team.

Daniel Jones (NYG), ADP 101.7, QB10:

Jones was actually a LEAGUE WINNER in ‘22.

He finished the typical fantasy playoffs, Weeks 16 and 17, with 21.8 and 36.2 points, respectively.

That made him the highest fantasy scorer in that time frame.

His passing metrics weren’t awesome, but he did have some encouraging looks in some categories:

• 5th in accuracy rating (8.0)

• 7th in fantasy points per drop back (0.57)

• 1st in true completion percentage (75.7%)

• 3rd in red zone completion percentage (64.3%)

And of course, he has rushing upside:

• 3rd in rush TDs (7)

• 5th in rushing yards (708)

• 5th in rushing yards per game (44.3)

With a new cast around him, including Darren Waller, he should finish easily in the top 10.

Cam Akers (LAR), ADP 65.7, RB21:

Akers got hot at the end of the season, starting in Week 14 when the Rams started feeding him like a bell cow.

In his final 3 games:

• Routes went from 5 to 15 per game

• Carries went from 10.4 to 21 per game

Those Weeks went well, as he was the best fantasy RB in the league in Week 16. In fact, he was the leading rusher over the last 6 games of the year.

He’s also on the final year of his contract, which could motivate the team to use him and Akers himself to play hard.

Despite the lack of passing game work (18 targets in ‘22), Akers is a value at this point and has the upside to produce.

Greg Dulcich (DEN), ADP 132.7, TE15:

Dulcich flashed last year and is ready to go again:

• 3rd in ADOT (10.6)

• 3rd in deep targets (12)

• 9th in yards per catch (12.5)

• 7th in air yards share (18.6%)

• 7th in target separation (2.36)

• 7th in unrealized air yards (312)

Now that Tim Patrick is out for the year, volume will tick up.

Sean Payton gets the most out of his TEs. He plans to move Dulcich around to create mismatches in coverage.

Those mismatches could lead to a huge year for the Broncos as well as thousands of fantasy managers.

🤔 RB Jacobs Getting Interest From 2 Teams

📅 Timeline For Rams CB Ramsey’s Return

🐬 Rookie Dolphin RB Dealing With Injury

👍 Cooper Kupp Day-to-Day, Coach Unconcerned

🦅 Eagles Bolster Defense: Sign 2 LBs

🏈 Panthers Add Veteran Defensive Presence

🚀 N’Keal Harry Joins LOADED WR Corps

💔 Packers QB Depth Concerns: Etling Released

💪 Eagles Shore Up O-Line: Andrews Returns to Philly

🌪 Dolphins' Defense Gets a Hand

Work like you’re just practicing in helmets and shorts today!

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