🎯 Target: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA), ADP 30.5, WR18

I’m riding JSN to the moon this year. With the reorganization in the Seattle WR room, he’s in a position to improve on his 137 targets and be a true number 1 receiver for Sam Darnold. JSN is a slot machine who ranked 7th in yards after the catch, 2nd in route wins, and 4th in EPA. Without DK Metcalf or Tyler Lockett around, he should see positive touchdown regression as well. 

And I’m not too concerned about Darnold. He was terrific last season in Minnesota, and even if he falters a bit leaving that system and the dome, his accuracy can overcome any challenges. 

🛑 Fade: Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI), ADP 26.5, WR15

Harrison was solid as a rookie, but failed to live up to his first-round draft buzz. He finished as fantasy’s WR39 in points per game, including 5 games with 2 or fewer catches. Yes, he should still get plenty of looks in a largely unchanged Cardinals’ offense, but the volatility of the outcomes makes it hard for me to want to trust him in rounds 2 or 3. That’s far too inconsistent to trust as such a high draft pick. If you want to go there, understand the risks.