Josh Jacobs (GB), ADP 17.2, RB8

Jacobs had 301 carries, 1,329 rushing yards, and a career-high 15 rushing touchdowns last season. But he did it while Green Bay ranked as the NFL’s 3rd run-heaviest offense… and they scored 12 of those TDs in just 8 games. Matt LaFleur has a history of reverting to committee usage, and 2nd-year back MarShawn Lloyd is healthy again behind him.

So you’re not just betting Jacobs holds RB1 volume, you’re betting he repeats a career year in a lower-TD, more pass-heavy offense… at the most expensive price tag he’s ever had.