BIGGEST BUST: Garrett Wilson (NYJ)

Wilson has three straight 1,000-yard seasons and just hit career-highs in catches (101), yards (1,104), and TDs (7). But he’s never finished higher than WR21 per game, and now plays in Aaron Glenn’s run-first Jets offense with Justin Fields, who has the 3RD-highest inaccurate throw rate to WRs since entering the league. Wilson’s target share could climb above 30% on a thin depth chart, but Fields’ scrambling and the Jets’ 5th-easiest passing schedule won’t matter if the offense keeps the pace slow and pass volume low.

So at WR15, you’re paying for a breakout leap that still hasn’t come in three years… and the offensive design makes that jump even less likely.